Texas A&M Aggies vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Gambling Preview + Predictions
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Aggies at Cowboys Week 5 Lines
Date/Time: Thursday, September 30, 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK
Broadcast: ESPN
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Lines from Justbet.com.
Money Line: Texas A&M (+130) Oklahoma State (-150)
Spread: Oklahoma State -3 ½
Over/Under: TBA
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Texas A&M Aggies vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Preview
On the ESPN Thursday night game in a battle of a couple of undefeated Big 12 teams the Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0) host the Texas A&M Aggies (3-0). College football lines have Oklahoma State as 3-point favorites in this game and there is no total at time of writing.
This game is the first one for each team in conference play and each should be ready since neither team played last week.
Man, this game may be a shootout, as Oklahoma State ranks 2nd in the nation in passing yards per game and the Aggies rank 15th. However, while both teams have a great offense the defense is a different issue, as Texas A&M ranks 10th in the nation while OSU only ranks 78th.
The Aggies have not beaten the Cowboys since the 2007 season.
In these teams’ last games Oklahoma State looked awesome on offense laying a 65-28 beat down on Tulsa while Texas A&M may have been a bit lucky in beating Florida International 27-20. The reason they may have had some luck on their side is that they won the game against FIU, but they committed 5 turnovers. If they play sloppy like that against the Cowboys the Aggies will not be leaving Stillwater with a win.
Heading into this game both teams are 2-1 ATS.
Texas A&M will have to deal with an Oklahoma State offense that had an amazing 722 yards including 574 passing yards in their win over Tulsa.
Oklahoma St. and their offense is led by QB Brandon Weeden, who was 23/32 for 409 yards with 6 TD and 0 INT in the win over Tulsa a couple weeks back. WR’s Justin Blackmon and Josh Cooper are his main targets and each of them averaged at least 20 yards per catch in the Tulsa game.
Texas A&M does have a great D, but they are actually better defending the run than the pass, which is not good for them in this game. Their pass defense ranks 50th in the nation, but they played well in their win over Florida International only allowing them to gain 117 yards in the air.
OSU is not all about the pass, as they also have a solid rushing offense, which ranks 31st in the nation. RB Kendall Hunter is their main guy in the backfield and he is a duel threat back and in the game against Tulsa he rushed for 59 yards and also caught 3 passes for 59 yards.
Hunter and the OSU rushing attack will not have an easy time picking up yards on the ground since the Aggies have the nation’s 4th ranked run defense.
The Texas A&M offense is led by QB Jerrod Johnson and if he plays like he did against Florida International the Aggies have no chance to win. In that win he was picked off 4 times only going 11/31 even though he did have 194 passing yards with a TD.
Johnson is a solid QB, but had an off game and he will be pitted up against an Oklahoma St. pass defense that only ranks 82nd in the nation and allowed Tulsa to pick up 229 yards in the air.
Much like OSU Texas A&M is not one-dimensional on offense, as they rank 30th in the nation in rushing yards per game. RB Christine Michael is the featured back and, unlike Johnson, he had a good game against Florida International with 119 yards and a TD. If he can have a big game it will really help the Aggies, as it will help keep the dynamic offense of Oklahoma St. off the field.
OSU’s strength on defense, albeit not a major one, is defending the run since they rank 55th in the nation in rushing defense and in the Tulsa game they gave up 199 yards on the ground.
The Aggies have the defense, but even though the Cowboys do not have a great defense they simply have too many weapons on offense to be stopped, especially at home. The Cowboys will come out firing and win this game and cover the spread going to 1-0 in the Big 12.
Texas A&M is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss, 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog, and has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Oklahoma State is 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
In the last 6 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 5 times.
Pick: Oklahoma State -3
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Jason did OK last week going 4-4 for the week in the college game and while he has yet to be below .500 for any of the 3 weeks he wishes the Redskins could have played some D against the Texans in losing their first game of the season to the Lone Star State.
