Week 13: Alabama-Birmingham Blazers vs Rice Owls Preview Free College Football Pick
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Blazers at Owls
GO INSIDE THIS MATCHUP WITH OUR CFB ATS STATS —>
Saturday November 27 – 3:30 PM
Rice Stadium – Houston Texas
UAB (4-7) vs. Rice (3-8)
Moneyline: No ML listed at this time
Spread Favourite: UAB -3
Over/Under: 67
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!
UAB
The Blazers have had an interesting season complete with a couple surprising upsets against Troy and Southern Mississippi. Unfortunately, unexpected home losses to Marshall and Florida International have prevented them from extending their season beyond this final regular season game against Rice with a bowl. Still there is definite promise for next year.
The great reason for optimism is the development of QB Bryan Ellis. He didn’t play in the opener and barely played in their loss to Florida International but since then he has received the bulk of the action and has performed exceptionally. 4 three hundred yard games and only a single game under 200 yards while throwing for 22 TDs. He has another season of eligibility so UAB might be a team to reckon with the C-USA East next season.
These teams have met only three times as they reside in separate divisions in C-USA. Each time the home team has won with UAB winning last year by 20 points for an easy cover. UAB has been favoured in each one of these contests and the team that has won the game has covered each time. With the short spread here I think that trend should continue this year. 
Rice
The Owls, even with only three victories, are probably enjoying a better season than expected. Last week they upset East Carolina scoring a whopping 62 points. Now ECU’s defense may not exactly be top shelf but the explosion we saw last week was completely unexpected. Hopefully they bottled a little bit of what they were feeling last week for this week’s contest against UAB.
The Blazers are not very strong on defense either so a repeat of the offensive outburst from last week is not totally out of the question. The key to last week’s outburst was being able to run the ball effectively as two running backs eclipsed the 100 yard mark. That made it easy for QB Taylor McHargue who only had to put the ball in the air 15 times, completing 11 with three TDs. When the Owls are forced to pass they don’t have enough playmakers to do damage but when they can choose their spots they can have success.
Neither of these teams will be playing for the conference championship or in a bowl game so it can be difficult to forecast what we will get as they play out the string. Rice is at home and this game is winnable for them if they continue the effort we saw last week. UAB is building for next year and it looks like they will put forth a good effort as well. Even though it is meaningless this one should be good competition.
The Pick: I like UAB a little more than Rice this season. Since they gave up on trying to recreate Joe Webb they have had success. Take the Blazers as the short favourite.
College Football Gambling Trends
Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Blazers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Blazers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Owls are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Owls are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Owls are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Score Prediction: UAB 37 – Rice 24
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