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Troy vs. FIU Week 9 Gambling Preview & Pick

On Tuesday October 25th 2011 its the Week 9 Troy Trojans vs. FIU Golden Panthers matchup. Odds currently have the Panthers listed as 6.5-point favorites…

NCAA Football Previews – Troy Trojans vs. FIU Golden Panthers

The Troy Trojans will try and move up the standings in the Sun Belt Conference when they square-off against the Florida International Golden Panthers this Tuesday night at FIU Stadium. Kick-off is slated for 8 p.m. and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.

Date/Time: Tuesday, Oct.25   8 p.m. (ET)
Venue: FIU Stadium, Miami, FL.
Broadcast: ESPN
Trojans at Golden Panthers lines by BetOnline.com
Point spread: Golden Panthers -6.5
Over/Under: OFF

Troy has a pair of wins over Middle Tennessee and UAB around stuffed between four losses to open the year 2-4 straight-up (1-5 against the spread). The Trojans have actually been favored in their last two games against Louisiana-Lafayette and Louisiana-Monroe, but lost both games straight-up by a combined score of 69-27 before last week’s bye. The total has stayed ‘under’ in its last three games.

Scoring has been an issue for Troy on both sides of the ball as it is averaging 22.7 points a game while giving-up an average of 34.7. The Trojans’ passing game has been decent, but its rushing attack is one of the worst in the country; averaging just 102.7 yards a game.

Florida International started the season with three straight victories, but losses in three of its last four games has dropped it to 4-3 SU (3-4 ATS). Last Tuesday night, it lost to Arkansas State 34-16 as a 3.5-point road underdog. The total stayed ‘under’ the 54-point line in this game and is 2-4-1 on the year. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

The Golden Panthers offense has been slightly better than Troy’s with an average of 26.1 points a game while its defense is giving-up just 23 points a game. Running back Kendrick Rhodes has gained 590 yards on 124 carries and wide receiver T.Y. Hilton has 43 receptions for 738 yards to lead FIU’s offensive attack.

Troy is 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games and the total has stayed ‘under’ in four of its last five conference games.

Florida International is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games as a home favorite and the total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of its last 12 games at home.

Head-to-head in this series, the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the total has gone ‘over’ in the last three games. While FIU should find a way to win this game at home, stick with the Trojans to keeps things closer than the 6.5-point spread.

The Pick: FIU 23 vs. Troy 20

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By Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.