KState vs Baylor Odds & Prediction
Kansas State (10-0) is the top ranked team in the nation and if they can win this game and then next week facing a ranked Texas team they should play in their first ever BCS title game.
Venue/ Stadium: Floyd Casey Stadium, WACO, TX
Time/Date: 8 PM EST Saturday, November 17, 2012
NFL Odds From: Sportsbook.ag
Moneyline: KSU -500 / Baylor +400
Spread: Kansas State -13
Over/Under: 74
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No. 1 Kansas State Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears Preview
While Baylor (4-5) has lost 5 of their last 6 games Kansas State has not won at Baylor since the 2002 season. The Bears need one more game to become bowl eligible. NCAAF lines have Kansas State as big 13-point favorites with a total of 74.
In their last games Kansas State beat TCU 23-10 and Baylor lost to Oklahoma 42-34.
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Kansas State is 8-1-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 5-4 and Baylor is 5-4 ATS with an Over/Under record of 6-2.
QB Collin Klein leads the Wildcats and he may be the front-runner for the Heisman. Both of his main targets are averaging over 15 yards per reception on the season and he ranks 2nd in rushing yards. On top of that he has the most rushing TD’s in the nation.
Klein is joined in the backfield by John Hubert, who has struggled in the last few games, but is still averaging a solid 5.3 yards per carry. The Wildcats focus on the run, but Klein can also air it out. Klein and Hubert may have big games facing a Baylor defense that only ranks 118th against the pass and 96th against the run.
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While the Baylor defense is weak they have the nation’s 2nd best offense and in their last 2 games they have racked up 551 rushing yards with 6 TD. QB Nick Florence did not look good in the loss to Oklahoma, but he has passed for almost 3,200 yards and has a great WR in WR Terrance Williams (77 rec 1,431 yards 10 TD). In the backfield Baylor RB’s Glasco Martin (528 yards 6 TD) and Jarred Salubi (440 yards 3 TD) pace the rushing offense and Florence can also move the chains on the ground.
The Kansas State defense is not very balanced, as their pass defense only ranks 78th in the nation while their run defense ranks 5th.
With the weakness of their D Baylor will need to get into a big time shootout to win this game.
In some betting trends for this Big 12 match up KSU is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games and in their last 6 road games the total has gone Under every time.
Baylor is 10-2 in their last 12 home games and in their last 30 home games they have an Over record of 22-8.
Jason’s Pick: KSU is the top ranked team in the nation and even though Baylor is 0-3 facing ranked teams all those games were not blowouts. I think Baylor will give the Wildcats a test and while they will not beat them they will cover the 13-point spread.
