Seminoles vs Eagles Free Pick
It is safe to say this season hasn’t gone exactly as planned for the Florida State Seminoles. They are essentially removed from the championship picture in the ACC but even though they have little to really play for they are playing much better with three straight victories.
Alumni Stadium – Chestnut Hill, MA
Thursday November 3 – 8:00PM
Moneyline: Florida State -600, Boston College +450
Spread (ATS): Florida State -14.5
Over/Under: 44.5
Odds courtesy of 5Dimes
Florida State
The competition hasn’t been great but they have won those games by 25, 25, and 34 points, with the defense really coming on.
They have been beating up on patsies and get another one on their visit to Boston College, a team that has given them fits in the past. After getting his timing back (sort of) in the loss to Wake Forest, QB E.J. Manuel has been much better. In this one all he has to do is not lose the game. The FSU defense has been mean lately and in Boston College they do not face a very strong attack. If they can score 17 or more points that should probably be enough.
Florida State should be able to breeze through BC this year, as long as they put in the right amount of effort. The -14.5 points you have to spot here should be more than enough as I don’t see the Eagles putting up more than 10 themselves. If this FSU group has designs on being a legit contender next year than this is the type of game they need to show us something in.
Boston College
The BC program knew it was going to be a tough year in 2011 but I think the team has fallen more than anyone expected. Before last week’s win at Maryland the Eagles didn’t even have a win over an FBS opponent this season. Scanning the schedule they might not get another one either unless they can beat N.C. State next week. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
This team hasn’t given up, the talent just isn’t there right now.
The way the Eagles offense is struggling it is hard to imagine that it wasn’t that long ago that Matt Ryan worked his on campus magic into becoming the #1 pick in the draft. Also, Dominique Davis, the gunslinger from ECU, was on campus for a while afterwards. Now they have Chase Rettig and it hasn’t been pretty. The lack of a passing game has diminished the running game too, although having Montel Harris injured hasn’t helped either.
When these two meet in the ACC the home team is just 2-4. Last year’s game was a nailbiter but this one should be far from it. This team just doesn’t score enough points to win. They have scored more than 20 points in the conference just once, in last week’s game against a bad Maryland team. The defense is solid but you can see it wear down as the game progresses.
ATS Pick: Florida State -14.5
Over/Under Pick: Over
Score Prediction: Florida State 33 – Boston College 14
