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Free Prediction: Utah State vs. #18 BYU Point Spreads & Preview

Week 6: Aggies vs Cougars Picks

Week 6 college football betting action sees the Utah State Aggies taking on the BYU Cougars on Friday October 3 at Lavell Edwards Stadium. Cappers Picks provides free college football handicapping tips all season long.

These interstate battles can sometimes be treats but this one looks like a real mismatch this season. BYU is looking to score some style points.

College Football Odds

Utah State Aggies (2-2) vs. #18 BYU Cougars (4-0)
Friday October 3
10:15PM
LaVell Edwards Stadium – Provo, UT
ESPN
College Football Betting Lines: BYU -21
College Football Betting Total:  51.5
***2014 CFB BONUSES***
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Utah State

You could make a compelling argument for Aggies QB Chuckie Keeton being the most indispensable player in college football – sorry Braxton. Two years ago this was a program on the rise but with no Keeton last year and more injuries this season Utah State is retreating back to the depths of the conversation. They certainly have a chance to make a splash this weekend. It’s a rivalry game so you never know right.

Even though Keeton grabbed all the headlines when the Aggies have been really competitive the last couple of seasons it has been because their defense has been really strong – they seem to have lost that edge as of late.

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The offense is not helping out either as their lack of production has put more pressure on the D and forced them to be on the field more than they should.

BYU

For the Cougars to succeed in achieving a really memorable season they cannot afford to take any games off this season. On the surface this looks like a great opportunity to build some style points but sometimes wacky things happen in those late games that nobody says they are watching. Given the states of these two programs right now that seems unlikely but that is why they play the games.

To stop the Cougars you have to be able to stop Taysom Hill. Both running and throw in he is the engine that makes the BYU attack go and as long as they keep winning he will be in the conversation for the Heisman. One of the reasons he succeeds is that the Cougars are very physical up front. They do not always get the best talent but their players are generally more mature physically thanks to frequent Mormon mission participation.

NCAA Football Handicapping Trends

  • Under is 5-0 in Aggies last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 5-0 in Aggies last 5 road games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Cougars are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 6-0 in Cougars last 6 vs. MWC.
  • Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Brigham Young.
  • Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

NCAA Football Week #6 Prediction:  Over 51

NCAAF Score prediction:  4* Play on BYU 45 – Utah State 24

I don’t like all that chalk but it is hard to make the argument in favour of the Aggies for this one. Maybe they get a backdoor cover…maybe.

Check out our Updated NCAA Football Week 6 Odds.

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By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.