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Week 14: Wildcats vs Cardinals Predictions

College football Week #14  betting action sees the Kentucky Wildcats taking on the Louisville Cardinals on Saturday November 29th at the Papa Johns Stadium in Louisville, Kentucky.  Cappers Picks provides free NCAAF handicapping tips all season long.

Early in the season this game looked like it might be a nice fun one but both of these teams has failed to live up to expectations and it looks like a mismatch for Louisville.

College Football Odds

Kentucky Wildcats (5-6) vs. #23 Louisville Cardinals (8-3) 
Saturday November 29
Papa John’s Stadium – Louisville, KY
NCAAF Betting Lines:  Louisville -14
NCAAF Betting Total:  53
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At one  point this season the Wildcats were 5-1, including a win over South Carolina and their only loss being to Florida, overtime.

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It was heady territory for a program with limited football history and as it turns out it was too good to be true.

Kentucky has lost their last 5 games, all by double digits but they can make some of that pain disappear if they can beat their state rival and at the same time get bowl eligible. It would atleast give them something to build on, but it might be too much to ask.

Early in the season the offense was humming with QB Patrick Towles putting up more than 350 yards in two of the first three games. Since then he has done it just once and more often than not not even breaking 200 yards passing.

This week he will be facing a very stiff Louisville defense.

His ankle is a little gimpy but he is still the best chance the Wildcats have of staying in the game. Without him they are toast.


A couple of times over the course of the season the Cardinals have looked very sharp.

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They were strong in the first game of the season beating Miami and nearly knocked out the defending champs too.

The strong defense that the former coach left in place has been very good this season with the offense definitely being a step behind.

They have some very nice playmakers but the consistently just hasn’t been there, which is probably why they have ultimately lost against the best teams on their schedule. Kentucky is not one of those.

I really like what I have seen from backup QB Reggie Bonnafon so far.

You cannot doubt his athletic ability and he has developed a nice rapport with top receiver Devante Parker. The Cardinals also have former Auburn RB Michael Dyer so there is no shortage of skill players for Bobby Petrino to work with.

The reason they are not more dynamic is that the QB play is not as good as it was before he left. They are going to have to work with a guy like Bonnafon to make him more efficient.

Just don’t take away his legs.  

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He is exciting.

NCAAF Handicapping Trends:

  • Wildcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
  • Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
  • Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. SEC.
  • Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

NCAAF Prediction:  Louisville -14

Look for the Cards to win this one easily at home.

NCAAF Score prediction:  Louisville 34 – Kentucky 14

Kentucky is sputtering right now and the Cards should pounce all over them.

Check out our Updated NCAA Football Week 14 Odds.

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By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at