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Free Prediction: Kent State vs. Bowling Green Point Spreads & Preview

Week 12: Golden Flashes vs Falcons Predictions

College football Week 12 betting action sees the Kent State Golden Flashes taking on the Bowling Green Falcons on Saturday Wednesday November 12 at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, Ohio. Cappers Picks provides free college football handicapping tips all season long.

This one is about as easy as it gets for Bowling Green as they look to wrap up the MAC East division. Probably no “MACtion” here.

College Football Odds

Kent State Golden Flashes (1-8) vs. Bowling Green Falcons (6-3)
Wednesday November 12
8:00PM
Doyt L. Perry Stadium – Bowling Green, OH
ESPN2
College Football Betting Lines:  Bowling Green -13
College Football Betting Total:  52.5
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Kent State

The Flashes are at the bottom of the MAC this season. They are the only team in either division not to have a league victory and their lone win of the season was against Army.

From time to time this program rises up but they also seem to have some pretty deep valleys as well.

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This season they are having an especially hard time getting the offense to produce and there are no high impact players to exploit like they had with Dri Archer last season.

Kent State has one of the worst rushing attacks in the nation and even though the game is more pass happy than ever before it is difficult to compete without the threat of the run unless you are super efficient throwing the ball – they aren’t.

QB Colin Reardon has more picks than TDs which is hard to do in this day and age. These guys are just not a good offensive team this season.

Bowling Green

This is a totally different Falcons team from a year ago. Last year’s was led by defense but this year they have faded to giving up 33ppg.

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Fortunately the offense has become much more viable as evidenced by scoring 45 points in an upset of Indiana earlier in the season. The Falcons are not the Ducks but they have scored 27 or more points in every league game save one – their loss to Western Michigan.

They are nearly free and clear in the division and this one should be relatively easy.

BGSU tries to be balanced on offense though against Kent State they can probably do what they want.

Their QB Travis Knapke has only marginally better number than Reardon but they can run the ball with a trio of backs that are averaging 5 yards per carr or better and each have scored 5TDs.

At home I don’t expect them to be pushed very hard by the Flashes.

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NCAA Football Handicapping Trends:

  • Under is 4-0-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 conference games.
  • Golden Flashes are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games on fieldturf.
  • Golden Flashes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Bowling Green.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Golden Flashes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

NCAA Football Week #12 Prediction:  Over 52.5

The Falcons have had 4 straight unders and I think the total dips a little too low in response.

NCAAF Score prediction:  Bowling Green 38 – Kent State 21

Take the over. The Falcons will score and they are far from a great defensive team.

Check out our Updated NCAA Football Week 12 Odds.

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By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.