Week 8 Odds: Tigers vs Gators
The Missouri Tigers 4-2 (1-1 SEC) head into the swamp to play the Florida Gators 3-2 (2-2 SEC). Be sure to come back to Cappers Picks for our latest free college football predictions throughout the year.
Both of these teams are fresh off a loss. Florida lost to a struggling LSU team (30-27) at home.
College Football Week 8 Picks
Mizzou vs Florida
When: Saturday, October 18th 2014 at 7:00pm ET
Where: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
TV: ESPN2
NCAAF Week 8 Gambling Line: Florida –6
NCAAF Week 8 Gambling O/U Line: 48.5 Points
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Mizzou lost to Georgia (34-0) last week and the entire team looked terrible throughout the entire game.
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Missouri’s offense has struggled all season and last week’s goose egg didn’t help. The team is averaging 28.8 PPG (76th), 201.2 PYPG (98th) and 156.7 RYPG (77th), which isn’t going to get it done.
Maty Mauk has put up respectable numbers this season, but he has had accuracy problems, which were evident last week. He completed 9 of 21 passes for 97 passing yards, 0 TD’s and 4 INT’s.
When Mauk is off his game this offense struggles to do anything. The offense isn’t explosive and turnovers kill them. Mauk will need to play well, as the Gators defense can be beat through the air.
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Florida is allowing 235.6 PYPG (65th) compared to 121.4 RYPG (32nd). Hansbrough and Murphy aren’t going to find much running room on the Gators defense, so Mauk will be forced to air it out.
The Gators offense has been a mess as well, especially at QB. Jeff Driskel has been playing poorly and the offense is only averaging 208.6 PYPG (91st), 176.4 RYPG (58th) and 31.8 PPG (56th).
Driskel has done well running the football, but he is a terrible pocket passer. Matt Jones is having a fine season at RB. He has a 5.0 YPC, but they really should try to pound it more often with him.
Mizzou usually has an imposing defense, but they’re average at best this season. They allow 155.5 RYPG (65th), 225.2 PYPG (57th) and 22.8 PPG (49th). Florida should run the football with Jones.
When they try to beat teams through the air Driskel usually ends up costing them. Driskel has thrown 8 INT’s already this season while only throwing 6 TD’s through the air and that has to improve.
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I think Mizzou is a bit overrated and while the Gators aren’t that good I still think they’ll be able to run the football on the Tigers and cover the point spread at home. Florida’s defense is also better.
NCAAF Week 8 Betting Trends:
* MIZZ are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
* Over is 8-2 in MIZZ last 10 road games.
* MIZZ are 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Free NCAAF Pick: Missouri Tigers vs. Florida Gators
Mauk will likely struggle with turnovers whereas I expect Muschamp to game plan around the run. Florida will get up early and once Mauk is under some pressure at the swamp he’ll start to fold.
These two teams don’t have much history, but they’ve played each other the last two years and the home team has won.
4* Play on Florida Gators –6 (-110)
I’ll stick with that trend and be betting on the Gators to win a low scoring game.
Check out our Updated College Football Week 8 Odds.
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