Week 7 Odds: Cardinals vs Tigers
The Louisville Cardinals 5-1 (3-1 ACC) are off to a great start in the ACC. They play the Clemson Tigers 3-2 (2-1 ACC) on Saturday afternoon. Visit Cappers Picks for free NCAAF picks all season.
Louisville’s lone loss is against Virginia a few weeks ago. Clemson has lost to Georgia and FSU already, but those are two top 10 teams. The Tigers know they can’t afford to lose this game at Memorial Stadium.
College Football Week 5 Picks
Louisville vs Clemson
When: Saturday, October 11th 2014 at 3:30pm ET
Where: Memorial Stadium
TV: ESPNU
NCAAF Week 7 Gambling Line: Clemson –9.5
NCAAF Week 7 Gambling O/U Line: 47.5 Points
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Louisville has been winning with the defense this season. They rank 6th in points allowed (12.7 PPG), 1st in rushing yards allowed (58.3 RYPG) and 12th in passing yards allowed (171.8 PYPG).
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This will be the toughest offense that they’ve played this season and it’ll be interesting to watch whether or not the defense can hold up. Clemson is scoring an average of 40.4 PPG (19th) this season.
The Tigers are unlikely to run the football much (155.0 RYPG – 78th), but Clemson has the 10th best passing attack in the nation (335.8 PYPG) and the key for Clemson is to attack early and often
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Deshaun Watson has played great all season long and he has a number of big time weapons that’ll be able to test this Cardinals secondary. Louisville will look to establish a run game and pound the rock.
Louisville’s offense is below average, as they average 231.8 PYPG (67th), 156.5 RYPG (76th) and 33.3 PPG (53rd). They need to keep the Clemson offense off the field and to do that they need to run.
Clemson is only allowing 110.6 RYPG (24th), but the secondary is even stronger (180.2 PYPG – 17th). This is a tough game for the Cardinals, as this is one of the toughest stadiums to play in.
The Tigers already lost one ACC game to FSU earlier in the year and they can’t afford to lose another big conference game, especially at home. This is a big spread, but I’ll be on Clemson to cover.
This team could have folded after suffering two losses, but they’ve come back strong with wins over UNC (50-35) and NC State (41-0). Louisville will hang around early although Clemson pulls away late.
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NCAAF Week 7 Betting Trends:
- Under is 7-1 in LOU last 8 road games.
- LOU are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 conference games.
- Under is 17-5 in LOU last 22 games overall.
- CLEM are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 conference games.
- Under is 18-7 in CLEM last 25 games in October.
- Over is 7-3 in CLEM last 10 home games.
Free NCAAF Pick: Louisville Cardinals vs. Clemson Tigers
There are no H2H trends to look at between these two teams. Clemson is a tough home team and both of their losses to ranked opponents this season came on road, so you can’t put much weight in those.
Clemson Tigers –9.5 (-110)
Louisville had trouble dealing with Virginia and Clemson is a much better team than that. Watson hasn’t given me a reason not to back him and I still think this Cardinals defense can be exposed.
Check out our Updated College Football Week 7 Odds.
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