Cincinnati vs Toledo Odds & Prediction
Cincinnati (5-0) has yet to lose this season and they have one of the best defenses in the nation, ranking 10th, only giving up an average of 14.4 ppg.
Venue/ Stadium: Glass Bowl, TOLEDO, OH
Time/Date: 7 PM EST Saturday, October 20, 2012
NCAAF Odds From: Betonline
Moneyline: Cincy -270 / Toledo +230
Spread: Cincy -7
Over/Under: 64.5
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No. 21 Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Toledo Rockets NCAAF Preview
They have a big game against Big East foe 16th ranked Louisville next week, but they cannot take Toledo (6-1) for granted, as the Rockets are 4-0 in MAC play and they have won 5 straight after losing the season opener to Arizona. NCAAF lines have Cincinnati as 7-point away favorites with a total of 64.5.
In their last games Cincinnati easily beat Fordham 49-17 and Toledo got into a shootout and beat Eastern Michigan 52-47.
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On the season Cincinnati is 3-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-1 and Toledo is 5-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 3-3.
QB Munchie Legaux leads the Cincy offense and has averaged 265 passing yard and has thrown 7 TD and only 1 INT in the last 3 games. His top 2 WR’s are each averaging over 14 yards per catch and Toledo cannot give up the big play. That may be hard for their pass defense, which only ranks 116th in the nation in pass defense.
RB George Winn has rushed for over 100 yards twice this season and in his last 2 games he has averaged 5.8 and 8 yards per carry. Not only does Toledo have a bad pass defense, but their run defense only ranks 77th in the nation, [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Toledo may have to light up the scoreboard in this game to win because of their D that will facing a Bearcats’ offense that has scored 101 points in their last 2 games.
Toledo has 3 big guns on offense in QB Terrance Owens, WR Bernard Reedy and RB David Fleullen. Owens is averaging nearly 300 passing yards per game, Reddy has 52 catches for 666 yards and 5 TD and Fleullen has 792 rushing yards and 9 TD.
While Cincinnati has the nation’s 10th ranked defense, in terms of opponents’ points per game, they are not well balanced. While their rushing defense is solid their pass defense only ranks 82nd in the nation. However, the Bearcats pass rush ranks 14th in the nation and they have to get to Owens or he may torch the Cincy secondary.
In some betting trends for this non-conference match up Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Toledo is 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and they have an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Jason’s Pick: Toledo has the offense, but with their defense and the fact they have not beaten a team from a major conference Cincy will win this away game and cover the spread.
