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College Bowl Predictions: Wisconsin vs Miami Preview

On Tuesday in the 2009 Champs Sports Bowl its the Wisconsin Badgers vs. the Miami Hurricanes. We preview and pick this Dec 29th bowl game matchup…

College Bowl Game Odds: Canes vs Badgers

The Champs Sports Bowl features the Miami Hurricanes facing the 3 point underdog Wisconsin Badgers in a different style’s battle on December 29 at 8:00 PM ET at Florida Citrus Bowl stadium.

College Bowl Game Odds:

Wisconsin Badgers +3
Miami Florida Hurricanes -3
O/U 58

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Miami ended with a 9-3 record in the ACC and Wisconsin also ended 9-3 in the Big Ten.

The Hurricanes will need to pick up their game up on defense as they face the 14 th rushing offense in the league averaging almost 207 yards per game.

The Hurricanes have only allowed 8 TDs over the ground but they are about to face a real challenge as they take on the Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year RB John Clay.

Clay ran for 1396 yards getting 16 TDs, he got over 100 rushing yards in 8 of his games. He is not the kind of RB who is going to break free for long gain but he will be able to get the yards his team need.

If they can establish the run that will give QB Scott Tolzien enough room to work with. Scott threw 16 TDs in the season but was picked 10 times, making him an unreliable QB.

On offense the Hurricanes need QB Jacory Harris to perform as he did in the beginning of the season, he was plagued by turnovers in the second half of the season and this break may help him clear his head and get back into the game.

Harris threw for 3164 yards, 23 TDs and 17 interceptions, not very amazing numbers. He had some amazing games like the win over Georgia Tech in week two when he found the end zone 3 times but he also had some bad ones like the game against North Carolina when he threw 4 interceptions.

Harris gets intercepted a lot for two basic reasons:

For trying to scramble out of the pocket and throwing the ball in hurry and
For throwing the ball to WR Leonard Hankerson too many times.
The Junior WR Hankerson has 6 TDs this season and 44 receptions so you can expect Harris to look for him at the Champs Sports Bowl against a team that loves to make the QBs uncomfortable and have several playmakers on the secondary.

Consider these College Football betting trends: Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games and Wisconsin is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin’s last 5 games and it has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games.

Last Wisconsin’s 5 bowl games

2004 Outback vs. Georgia 21-24 L
2005 Capital One vs. Auburn 24-10 W
2006 Capital One vs. Arkansas 17-14 W
2007 Outback vs. Tennessee 17-21 L
2008 Champs Sports vs. Florida State 13-42 L

Last Miami’s 5 bowl games

2003 Orange Florida State 16-14 W
2004 Peach Florida 27-0 W
2005 Peach LSU 3-40 L
2006 MPC Computers Nevada 21-20 W
2008 Emerald California 17-24 L

My pick: Miami will cover. Over

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One reply on “College Bowl Predictions: Wisconsin vs Miami Preview”

I would be concerned with Miami’s defenses ability to stop Wisconsin’s running game as this will be the key match up in this game. If the Badgers can control the line of scrimmage and keep the Hurricanes offense on the sidelines they should be able to come away with a win.

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