Texas A&M vs Mizzou NCAAF Handicapping
Only No.12 Texas A&M and 2013 Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel stand in the way of No. 8 Missouri and the SEC Championship game in just their second year in the conference.
No. 12 Texas A&M at No. 8 Missouri
Date: Saturday, November 30, 2013
Time 7:45 p.m. EST
Venue Faurot Field
City: Columbia
O/U Odds: OFF
Spread: Missouri -4.5
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“Johnny Football” and the Aggies arrive in Columbia on Saturday to take aim at ruining any chance that Tigers have to go bowling, while notching the one win that would keep head coach Gary Pinkel from tying Don Faurot as the all-time winningest coach in Tigers history, with 101 victories.
The Aggies (8-3), have struggled defensively this season, especially against the run, ranking 107th nationally at 221 yards allowed per game — something Mizzou will look to exploit that with its talented trio of running backs, led by Henry Josey, who has had a great comeback season, rushing for 855 yards and 12 touchdowns.
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As a unit the Aggies are allowing 31 points and 460 yards per game, forcing all of the pressure onto Manziel who still finds himself for the second time in the Heisman race, completing nearly 70 percent of his passes for 3,537 yards with 32 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. The dual-threat quarterback has also rushed for 665 yards and eight touchdowns.
Missouri (10-1) will need to take a page out of LSU’s playbook if they want to stop Manziel, who put up 439 total yards and five touchdowns a year ago against the Tigers in a 59-29 rout.
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That shouldn’t be too difficult though, for the Tigers who are one of just five schools ranked in the top 15 nationally in both scoring offense and scoring defense.
Missouri has been the surprise of the conference this season, following last year’s 5-7 campaign, and have been led by their balanced offense and a fierce pass rush that leads the SEC with 35 sacks.
That could spell trouble for Manziel and the Aggies, which were held to 299 total yards and 10 points against LSU last week.
Meanwhile, offensively, Aggies quarterback James Franklin proved himself healthy last week against Ole Miss, throwing for 142 yards and rushing for 42 after missing four games with a shoulder injury.
Matt’s Free Prediction
The Aggies have the offensive firepower to win games, but it is clear they just aren’t the same team defensively they were a year ago.
Missouri in the meantime is averaging nearly 40 points and 500 yards per game, and its only loss has come in overtime against South Carolina when a field goal attempt hit the upright.
Look for the Tigers to get the win here.
Missouri 35, Texas A&M 28
