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Sleeper Picks: 2014 NCAA Tournament Upsets – March Madness Predictions

Bracket Busters: Top Sleepers for each Region

It is not called March Madness for nothing as 68 of the top men’s college basketball teams in the country begin their quest for a national title this Tuesday and Wednesday night starting with four play-in games in Round 1.

Things really start to heat-up this Thursday with the first 16 games in Round 2 with 16 more to follow on Friday.

Whether or not you are simply betting on the individual games or filling out a bracket for one the many available NCAA Tournament contests that are out there, the following is a brief look at my top sleeper team from each region to win their first two games and make into next week’s Sweet 16.

South Region- New Mexico Lobos

The Lobos are coming off a huge 64-58 victory over San Diego State in the Mountain West Conference Tournament Championship after going 15-3 in the MWC in the regular season.

They are 9-1 straight-up in their last 10 games with an 8-2 record against the spread. They will open this tournament as the No. 7 seed in the South and 4.5-point favorites against No. 10 Stanford in their opening game.

A win on Friday would set-up a likely Sunday matchup against No. 2 seed Kansas, which is still battling injuries and a very concerning 2-3 SU record in its last five games.

East Region- North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina entered last week’s ACC Tournament as the No. 4 seed after going on a 12-1 SU run in its final 13 conference games.
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The stay was short in a 80-75 loss to Pitt in the quarterfinals in a game that ended as a pick, but the NO. 6 seed Tar Heels still come into this tournament with quite a bit of momentum from their previous success.

They will open as 4.5-point favorites against Providence before a likely matchup against No. 3 seed Iowa State on Sunday. Look for a couple of big games from Marcus Paige and James Michael McAdoo in a couple of big wins.

West Region- Nebraska Cornhuskers

Consistency has plague Nebraska a couple of different times during the regular season but it appears to be hitting its stride at just the right time of the year.

The Cornhuskers closed-out the regular season on an 8-1 SU run that included a huge 77-68 victory over Wisconsin in their season finale as three-point home underdogs. They lost to Ohio State 71-67 in the Big Ten Tournament, but covered as 5.5-point underdogs.

Nebraska has been opened as a 3.5-point underdog against Baylor as the No. 11 seed in the West, but after upsetting the Bears on Friday, I like its chances to get past No. 3 Creighton on Sunday as a likely underdog for that matchup as well.

Midwest Region- Kentucky Wildcats

It is not all that often that you get to call Kentucky a sleeper, but after a roller-coaster ride of a season, it comes into the NCAA Tournament as the No. 8 seed in the Midwest Region.

Despite suffering a heartbreaking 61-60 loss to Florida as 6.5-point underdogs, the Wildcats still have built up some momentum for a deep run in this tournament by showing the ability to play the Gators tough with so much on the line.

They have been opened as five-point favorites against Kansas State in their tournament opener, but the victory that will catch everyone’s attention will come against No. 1 seed Wichita State this upcoming Sunday.   

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By Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.