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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils Odds & NCAAB Free Pick

UNC vs Duke Preview

UNC is 16-14 ATS with an O/U record of 14-15 and Duke is 17-12-1 ATS with an O/U record of 13-16. This season Duke is 16-0 at home and UNC is 6-4 on the road.[ad-4468020]

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils Preview
Venue/ Stadium: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, North Carolina
Time/Date: 9 PM EST Saturday, March 8, 2014
NCAAB Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: Duke -7
Over/Under:  OFF
CBB Odds: [dfads params=’groups=63740&limit=1&return_javascript=0′]

ATS Matchup Stats | Gambling Insight!

In their last games UNC beat Notre Dame 63-61 and Duke lost to Wake Forest 82-72.

North Carolina has won 13 straight and in that span they beat Duke and they were the last team to beat the Blue Devils at home a couple of years back. Both of these teams have already clinched double-byes into the quarterfinals of next week’s ACC tournament.

Duke lost their last game, which may have cost them a shot at a top-seed in the NCAA tournament. They have lost 2 of their last 4 games and while the Blue Devils lost to the Tar Heels earlier this season they are 7-3 in their last 10 games facing them.

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In their loss to Wake Forest Duke was in control of the game before they allowed the Demon Deacons to go on a 17-0 run in the 2nd half.

Jabari Parker leads Duke in scoring and rebounding and while he was solid in the loss to Wake Forest he was only 2/5 for 7 points and 3 turnovers in the loss to UNC earlier this season.

In the loss to UNC earlier this season Duke was outscored by 15 points in the 2nd half and they were ice cold from behind the arc only hitting on 5 of their 22 of their 3-pointers. The Blue Devils have a good 3-point shooting team, but in their last 3 games they are shooting a 3-pt FG% of 28.3%.

G Marcus Paige and FW James McAdoo are the 2 leading scores for the Tar Heels and both of these guys really struggled in the win over Notre Dame.

Duke has had their issues in the 2nd half of games as of late and they cannot afford to give up big leads. At least in this game they will have the crowd behind them.
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Duke has won 12 of their last 13 home games against UNC with the only loss coming in the 2012 season.

Betting Trends

UNC is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win, and they have an Under record of 9-2 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Duke is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall, and they have an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.

UNC is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against the Blue Devils at Duke.

In the last 11 games between these 2 rivals the total has gone Under 9 times.

Jason’s Pick:

The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams and the road team has covered in 5 of the last 6. These trends will continue, as I think Duke will win the game, but it will be close and North Carolina will cover the spread.

Player Injuries

UNC
(!)[G] 12/20/2013 – P.J. Hairston out for season ( Suspension )

Duke
NONE

By Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.