NCAA Tournament – Dayton vs Syracuse Pick
Dayton is 18-12 ATS with an O/U record of 16-13 and Syracuse is 15-12-2 ATS with an O/U record of 11-15-2. [ad-4468020]
2014 NCAA Tournament Free Picks
South Region – Round 3
Dayton Flyers vs. Syracuse Orange Preview
Venue/ Stadium: First Niagara Center, Buffalo, New York
Time/Date: 7:10 PM EST Saturday, March 22, 2014
NCAAB Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: Syracuse -6.5
Over/Under: 128
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ATS Matchup Insight | CP Insider Gambling Preview
In their last games in the Big Dance Dayton beat Ohio State 60-59 and Syracuse beat Western Michigan 77-53.
Dayton scored one of the biggest upsets in the first round when they took out the South’s 6th seed in Ohio State and not have a tougher task facing the region’s 3rd seed in Syracuse. The Orange ended the season terribly losing 5 of their last 7 games, but they looked impressive in their Big Dance 25-point win over Western Michigan.
Syracuse got back to playing their game, which is great defense, in the win over Western Michigan holding the Broncos to a paltry 34.7% FG%. The 2 leading scorers for the season in Tyler Ennis and C.J. Fair combined to score 30 points and overall the Orange shot 49/1% from the floor. 4 of 5 starters in the game scored at least 14 points.
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Dayton did not have the best shooting game in the upset win over Ohio State and they did not play great D, but they stayed close the whole game and came up big when it mattered.
This game is being held in Buffalo, New York so the Orange should have some home court advantage with many fans there.
In the Ohio State win the 2 leading scorers for the team were Devin Oliver and Dyshawn Pierre, who were the 2 leading scorers for the season. They only combined for 23 points and Dayton’s offense will be facing a Cuse D that ranks 9th in the nation.
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Dayton comes into this game hot, as they have won 11 of their last 13 games.
It is key that Syracuse bets back on D after a missed shot, as in the Ohio State game the Flyers outscored the Buckeyes 20-12 in transition.
The Flyers will have to play good perimeter D in this game against an Orange team that was 7/17 from deep in the Western Michigan game with Trevor Cooney hitting 4 of his 8 3-pointers. When Syracuse shoots a 3-pt FG% of at least 30% they are 19-0 this season.
Syracuse was up on Western Michigan by 19 at halftime and never looked back and Dayton cannot let that happen, as they have to play a solid first half.
Betting Trends
Dayton is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, and they have an Over record of 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Syracuse is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win, and they have an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Jason’s Pick:
Dayton will not be the Cinderella of the Big Dance, as while they scored a huge upset in their opening game their ride ends with Syracuse. The Orange will play great defense and win this game and cover the spread.
Player Injuries
Dayton
NONE
Syracuse
[F] 01/24/2014 – DaJuan Coleman out for season ( Knee )
