NBA Lock Alert – Toronto Raptors at L.A. Clippers
Raptors (-4) at Clippers (+4)
(O/U) 204½
Tonight at 10:30 PM ET
The Toronto Raptors (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS, 5-3 O/U) just can’t find any consistency this season, not a good way for the team to try and hold on to franchise player and impending free agent forward Chris Bosh.
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The Los Angeles Clippers (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS, 3-6 O/U) have gotten off to a solid start this season, but have been bit by the injury bug, losing two of their best players in No. 1 overall draft pick Blake Griffin and gifted second-year shooting guard Eric Gordon.
Both teams will be looking for a victory when they take to the court at the Air Canada Center tonight.
Bosh had a convincing double-double of 28 points and 11 rebounds to lead Toronto to a solid 99-89 win over the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday.
The Raptors covered the NBA point spread as 5.5-point home favorites while the final score played Under the 207-point O/U total.
The Clippers lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder 83-79 on Wednesday, failing to cover the NBA point spread as a 2-point home favorite while the game’s final score played Under the 186.5-point O/U total.
Baron Davis scored a team-high 17 points in a losing effort.
Here is a look at this game’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert NBA Picks.
Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win.
Raptors are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. 
Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Clippers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.
Raptors are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
Raptors are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.
Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.
Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
Analysis: I’ll keep this pick short and sweet by simply saying that I like the L.A. Clippers to win this game and cover the spread against a Clippers team that is hurting in a big way right now.
The Toronto Raptors have gone an impressive 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite.
The Clippers have lost two consecutive games coming into this contest while failing to cover the spread in three straight. Without the explosive Gordon, L.A. is having some real trouble scoring the ball, averaging just 82.5 points per game over their last two, both without Gordon in the lineup.
The Raptors have gone an encouraging 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the Clippers and 6-2 ATS in the last eight games in Los Angeles.
With the Under going 11-5 in the last 16 meetings between these teams and the Clippers struggling to score in the worst way, I like the Under in this matchup as well.
NBA Free Picks: Raptors -4 Points/Under 204½ Total Points
