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Phoenix vs. New Orleans NBA Free Pick

Our experts weigh in with this week’s best Monday night hoops NBA picks for gambling on all the action…tonight on the hardwood we get the Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Hornets…

NBA odds: Nash leads Suns into New Orleans

Phoenix could have tired legs after facing the Rockets Sunday night, but the Hornets might be without a very important pair of legs themselves: Chris Paul’s. The young star is nursing a knee injury but, if he plays, NBA betting fans will be treated to a Paul/Steve Nash battle at point guard.

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Team records:
Phoenix: 28-21 SU, 25-23-1 ATS
New Orleans: 26-21 SU, 23-24 ATS

Matchup: Suns vs. Hornets
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: New Orleans Arena
Spread: Hornets -1
Over/Under: 218.5

Phoenix (28-21, 25-23-1 ATS) has won two straight games—including two straight against the spread—after dropping four in a row ATS. The Suns haven’t played very well against NBA odds lately, winning just four times in their last 10 outings. Though they won their last road game against the spread, they’d dropped the previous three ATS away from home.

Steve Nash could be in the midst of another MVP season. Obviously, there are a lot of games to be played and some other great candidates, but his statistics are even better than they were during the 2004 and 2005 seasons; Nash’s field goal percentage, three-point percentage and free throw percentage are higher while he’s adding 18.5 points and 11.0 assists per game (the same as his MVP seasons). With Nash at the helm Phoenix ranks first in scoring in the NBA. Of course, NBA betting fans are well aware of the team’s defensive struggles as well; the Suns are second-worst in points allowed, ahead of only Golden State.

Has something woken up the Hornets? New Orleans (26-21, 23-24 ATS) has scraped together five wins in its last seven games, including a great 4-1 effort against the point spread in its last five outings. Online Sports Betting at Sportsbook New Orleans has been strangely bad at home lately, losing three straight against the spread, but the Hornets showed some real grit against Memphis on Saturday by earning an overtime road win without their best player.

Yes, Chris Paul is on the shelf, meaning tonight’s game could lose its most-intriguing angle. Paul is dealing with knee issues and will be questionable for tonight’s game. If he plays, New Orleans obviously gets a big boost to its NBA odds—Paul is averaging 20.4 points, 11.2 assists and 2.3 steals per game. The Hornets’ second-leading scorer, David West, has busted out over his last two games by averaging 25.5 PPG.

New Orleans is a very impressive 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS against Phoenix in their last 10 meetings, but the series has been much closer in recent seasons. The Suns and Hornets are 2-2 straight up and against the spread in their last two matchups, with the Hornets winning most recently (a 110-103 home victory in November).

PICK

Paul’s injury is a big concern for New Orleans and, with Nash playing so well right now, the Suns look to be turning a corner and delivering on sportsbook odds. Bet on Phoenix.

Next up:
Phoenix at Denver, Wednesday, February 3
New Orleans home to Oklahoma City, Wednesday, February 3

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By Ian Van Den Hurk

Ian Van Den Hurk has covered amateur and pro sports for years, including a successful run handicapping anything from football to mixed martial arts. Looking for more sports betting tips and expert sports handicapping articles from Ian V? We've got your back...