Heat vs Spurs NBA Final Picks
Its a Finals rematch but given the teams involved and how last season played out that is hardly the worst thing in the world. Miami has taken care of business series by series and really never been in much danger throughout these playoffs.[ad-4468020]
2014: The Finals
Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs
Thursday June 5
AT&T Center – San Antonio, TX
Moneyline: San Antonio -175, Miami +155
Spread: San Antonio -4
If I had to assess their play I would say they haven’t quite reached their top gear. Will they be able to elevate their game and snag a third title in a row.
There is no doubting the talent of this Miami team but where is the depth this season.
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The Big Three seem to be carrying more of the load than usual that might be exposed if somebody does not step up and make some shots or make some other significant contribution.
Where are the Mike Millers and Shane Battiers – oops Battier is still on this team, though it has been hard to tell.
It is always tempting to back top teams in their rare situations as underdogs.
For Miami this will be just the 10th time all season that this has occurred and the results are not great with a 3-5-1 ATS record to date. They have been the favourite in all but one of their playoff games this season.
The one time they were an underdog they lost and failed to cover.
The Spurs are definitely approaching this series as unfinished business.
These guys are not babies but they do feel like they got something taken from them last year and they are on a mission to grab one more title before their key players are too old too hoist the trophy.
They have been managing their season to get to this moment.
The key is going to be healthy as we start the series with lynchpin Tony Parker suffering from an injury that potentially threatens his effectiveness. The Spurs are the deepest team in the league and have quality backups but they are just that, backups.
Tim Duncan keeps proving that knowing how to play the game is as important as athleticism. He will need to have another big series.
I seem to be zigging the wrong way with San Antonio in these playoffs. Assuming that Parker is healthy I expect a strong statement and cover in G1. Even if Parker can’t go I expect they will win and with such a small number I am confident in them covering anyway.
This team is ready to get back to work and will pick up where they left off against OKC.
Spread prediction: San Antonio -4
Total prediction: Over
Score prediction: San Antonio 107 – Miami 99