Free Pick: Denver vs. Memphis NBA Lines & Handicapping Preview

NBA: Nuggets vs Grizzlies Predictions

NBA betting action sees the Denver Nuggets taking on the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday January 29 at the FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tennessee.  Cappers Picks provides free NBA handicapping tips all season long.

The Grizzlies are playing some very good basketball and are on top in their division.

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Denver Nuggets (18-27) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (33-12)
Thursday January 29
FedEx Forum – Memphis, TN
NBA Betting Lines: Opened Memphis -8.5 now -10.5
NBA Betting Total:  199
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Denver is hoping to at least put their current winning streak in doubt.


The Nuggets got a road victory last night at New Orleans but this trip will be much tougher.

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The win snapped a 7 game losing streak and was somewhat impressive given that leading scorer Ty Lawson scored only 5 points.

Denver hasn’t been able to have much sustained success this year, they are just 10-8SU after a win.

When you look at their profile it is difficult to find situations that are prime to take advantage of, especially on the road. This is going to be a tough spot.

With nothing to lose the Nuggets are getting a chance to take a long look at some guys.

One of those is rookie Jusuf Nurkic, a burly foreign center who is showing some promise.

He had one of his better games against the Pelicans and they will need him to stand tall against a good Memphis frontline.

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His presence gives this team more depth though not the starpower they really need.


The Grizzlies are playing some very good basketball right now, having won 4 in a row and 8 of 9.

In every win but one they have held their opponents to under 100 points and currently boast the third best defense in the league.

There is no question that they are the better team but can they still get by without their starting backcourt as Mike Conley and Tony Allen are both questionable as this is being written.

With those two out it is probably wise to take a pass on Memphis right now.

With the guards out the focus is on the likes of Beno Udrih and Courtney Lee to play well.

They don’t necessarily need them to score as they have plenty of firepower upfront but they need them to contribute.

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I fear that Udrih is especially going to be overmatched by the speed of Lawson and this shows a weakness in the Grizzlies lineup as Conley has really grown his game to a level where he is desperately missed.

NBA Handicapping Trends:

  • Nuggets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 8-0 in Nuggets last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
  • Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Grizzlies last 5 overall.
  • Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

NBA Prediction:  Denver +8.5

With the backcourt potentially out this could be a chance to steal some value with Denver.

NBA Score prediction:  Memphis 96 – Denver 94

Just don’t get too caught up in it, sometimes we overrate injuries.

Check out our Updated NBA Betting Odds.

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By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at