Indiana vs Miami Handicapping
There was a lot of 2nd guessing after the Pacers Game 1 loss on the last play of the game when LeBron James had, pretty much, a non contested layup to win in OT.
Venue/ Stadium: AmericanAirlines Arena, Miami, FL
Time/Date: 8:30 PM EST Friday, May 24, 2013
NBA Odds
Moneyline: Pacers +280 / Heat +340
Spread: Heat -7.5
Over/Under: 180.5
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Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat Preview
That is all water under the bridge now and even in the loss the Pacers have to come away with confidence after losing Game 1 in Miami by a single point in overtime. NBA lines have the Heat as 7.5-point home favorites with a total of 180.5.
In Game1 the Heat beat the Pacers 103-102 in OT.
On the season the Pacers are 57-37 and 51-43 ATS and the Heat are 75-17 and 52-40 ATS.
This season the Heat are 42-5 at home and the Pacers are 21-26 on the road.
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LeBron James went for a triple double in Game 1 and while he Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh were solid each shooting at least 50% from the field they could use some more help from the bench. Chris Anderson had a great game off the bench scoring 16 points on 7/7 shooting, but Ray Allen, Shane Battier and Norris Cole only combined to shoot 2/16 from the field.
The frontcourt starters of David West, Paul George, and Roy Hibbert combined to score 72 points in the Game 1 loss, but the guards struggled with their shot. George Hill and Lance Stephenson only combined to score 12 points on 4/19 shooting and they need to knock down their open shots to open up the lane.
The Heat outscored the Pacers in the paint in Game 1 60-48.
Both teams need to rebound the ball better, as each team had at least 15 offensive boards in Game 1. [ad-6571516]
Game 1 was a sloppy game with each team committing at least 20 turnovers and there were 58 personal fouls called.
Paul George has to get going earlier in Game 2, as in Game 1 he did get hot on the 2nd half and score 27 overall, but he only has 2 at halftime.
In some betting trends for this Eastern Conference semifinal game the Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss, and they have an Over record of 12-2 in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss.
The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
In the last 7 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 6 times.
Jason’s Pick: I picked Indy to cover in Game 1 and I am going to do so again. I think the Heat will win again, but the Pacers have confidence in Miami’s house and they will cover the 7.5-point spread for the 2nd straight game.
