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Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat Gambling Odds & NBA Free Pick

Houston vs Miami Betting!

Houston’s offense has simply been en fuego and they have won 2 straight and scored 140 points in their last win.

Venue/ Stadium: AmericanAirlines Arena, Miami, FL
Time/Date: 7:30 PM EST Wednesday, February 6, 2013
NBA Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: Heat -8
Over/Under:  206.5

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Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat Preview

The Heat have also won 2 straight and while those wins were against sub .500 teams they are tied with Indiana with the fewest home losses in the league while the Rockets are only 10-15 on the road. NBA lines have the Heat as 8-point home favorites with a total of 206.5.

In their last games the Rockets beat the Golden State Warriors 140-109 and the Heat beat the Charlotte Bobcats 99-95.

On the season the Rockets are 26-23-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 27-23 and the Heat are 22-23 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 21-24.

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The Heat are obviously led by LeBron James and the reigning MVP has been playing great shooting over 60% from the floor in his last 11 games and he dropped 31 on the Bobcats in his last game on 12/13 shooting. He has been a big thorn in the side of the Rockets, as since joining the Heat he is averaging 30.8 ppg facing them.

The Heat have won 6 straight against the Rockets averaging 112.3 ppg in that span. To win this game the Rockets may have to get into a shootout, as they cannot rely on their defense, which ranks 27th in the league in opponents’ points allowed.

The Heat have to play good perimeter D last night, as the Rockets are a great shooting team that set a franchise record in the win over the Warriors with 23 3-pointers. Jeremy Lin scored 28 points last night against Golden State and has been playing great, but in 2 games facing Miami he is only 4/19 from the floor totaling 17 points with 10 turnovers. [ad-6571516]

8 players for the Rockets scored in double figures in the Warriors win led by Lin and James Harden and if the Heat can keep these guards from having big scoring games they should be in good shape.

The Big 3 of James, Dwyane Wade, and Chris Bosh are the keys for the Heat and the Rockets have to try to slow these guys down.

The one glaring weakness of the Heat is their rebounding, as they only rank 30th in the league in boards per game. James and Udonis Halsem have to body up on Omer Asik (10.3 ppg 11.1 rpg) and not allow him to dominate the glass, especially on the offensive end of the court.

In some betting trends for this non-conference match up the Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games facing a team with a winning record.

The Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, and they have an Under record of 8-3 in their last 11 home games.

Jason’s Pick: The Rockets seem to be a different beast at home and in their last road game they lost to the Nuggets by 8 points. Miami will step up on D tonight and James will lead them to a win and they will also cover the spread.

By Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.