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Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Gambling Prediction & NBA Preview

Golden State vs. Denver Betting!

The Nuggets were the favorites in this series, especially when the Warriors lost David Lee, but Golden State has won the last 3 games if this series and can now close out the series tonight in Denver.

Venue/ Stadium: Pepsi Center, Denver, CO
Time/Date: 8 PM EST Tuesday, April 30, 2013
NBA Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: Warriors +290 / Nuggets -350
Spread: Nuggets -7.5
Over/Under:  213

ATS Matchup Stats | Gambling Insight!

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Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Preview

NBA lines have the Nuggets as 7.5-home favorites with a total of 213.

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In Game 4 the Warriors beat the Nuggets 115-101.

This season the Warriors are 46-39-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 50-35-1 and the Nuggets are 49-36-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 49-36-1.

This season the Nuggets had the best home record in the NBA at 39-4, but they have already lost a game at home in this series. The Warriors are 20-23 on the road.

The Warriors have covered the spread in every game in this series.

Golden State was 3-18 when playing without Lee over the last 3 regular seasons, but in this season’s playoffs they are 0-3 without the league leader in double-doubles.

The Warriors shot lights out yet again in this series in Game 4 shooting 55.7% from the floor and they shot a 3-pt FG% of 42.3%. [ad-6571516]

In the last 3 games the Nuggets have had no answer for the backcourt shooters of the Warriors, especially Stephen Curry, who scored a game high 31 points in Game 4. Curry, Klay Thomson, and Jarrett Jack have all been playoff great and if the Nuggets cannot keep this G trio from lighting it up from deep this series may end tonight.

The Warriors got some unexpected offense from the frontcourt in Game 4 with C Andrew Bogut scoring 12 points and the FW reserve duo of Draymond Green and Carl Landry combining for 30 points. Golden State is led by their guards, but in Game 4 the Warriors scored 48 points in the paint.

Ty Lawson and Andre Iguodala played well in Game 4 combined for 45 points, but they were the only Nuggets starters that scored in double figures. The Nuggets will have to try to play some D and if they do not they will have to light up the scoreboard to win.

In some betting trends for this playoff series the Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games and they have an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 games.

The Nuggets are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games, and they have an Over record of 7-1 in their last 8 games.

Jason’s Pick: I think the Warriors are primed to take this series tonight and even if they do not it will be a close game tonight and they will cover the spread.

By Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.