MLB Predictions: Blue Jays vs Yankees Lines
The New York Yankees host the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday evening in the opening game of a three-game set at Yankee Stadium. Both teams enter this series red hot with the Blue Jays coming to town having won five of their last six games, while the Yankees have wins in six of their last seven contests.
Toronto Blue Jays (54-49) at New York Yankees (53-48)
Date: Friday, July 25, 2014
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium
City: Bronx, New York
O/U Odds: 8
Money Line: New York -133, Toronto +123
Pitching Matchup: LH Mark Buehrle (10-6, 2.86 ERA) at RH Hiroki Kuroda (6-6, 3.88 ERA)
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The Yankees are very happy to get this series at home, as the team has dominated the Blue Jays in recent meetings. New York has earned 16 straight victories against the Blue Jays, and one more would tie them for the fourth-longest home winning streak by a team over another since 1969. The record for such a streak is 22 games, set by the Milwaukee Brewers over the Pittsburgh Pirates from May 4, 2007 to Apr. 26, 2010.
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They will also be happy to see Mark Buehrle take the hill for the Blue Jays. Buehrle was on fire to start the season for the Jays, but claiming that elusive 11th win as been tough for him. After starting the year 10-1, Buehrle is 0-5 with a 4.06 ERA in his last eight starts.
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His track record against the Yankees isn’t any better. In 18 career starts against them, Buehrle is 1-11 with a 5.81 ERA. In his last 14 starts against them, he is 0-9 with a 6.93 ERA. In two matchups against the Yankees this season, Buehrle is 0-1 with a 4.26 ERA. His teams have lost all seven of his starts at the new Yankee Stadium.
As for his counterpart in this one, Hiroki Kuroda has enjoyed pitching against the Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium. In three career home starts against the Jays, Kuroda is 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA, with two of those wins coming against Buehrle.
Yankee Stadium is in the Blue Jays’ heads right now, and it’s going to be difficult for them to shake off that feeling before they can reverse this trend.
Additionally, Kuroda has really turned things around after a shaky start to the season. The Blue Jays’ lineup has plenty of holes in it at the moment due to injury, so he should be able to continue his recent hot streak. Meanwhile, Buehrle may not have a lot of success against the Yankees in his career, but the Yankees haven’t been lighting up the scoreboard of late, either.
The Yankees are 14-6 in Kuroda’s last 20 starts as a home favorite, while the Blue Jays are 3-13 in their last 16 road games.
The under is 17-7 in Buehrle’s last 24 road starts, and it is 22-3-1 in Kuroda’s last 26 starts versus teams with a winning record.
The play: New York -132, Under 8
