MLB Betting – Detroit vs. Chicago Preview & Pick

Shea weighs in with his MLB Free Pick for Wednesday. It’s the Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox matching up at U.S. Cellular Field. The White Sox are currently 121-moneyline favorites…

MLB Betting – Tigers vs White Sox Preview & Pick

Every game matters now in the American League Central, where the Detroit Tigers held a one-game lead over the Cleveland Indians and 3.5-game lead over the Chicago White Sox through Monday.


Bet On Baseball – Tigers vs. White Sox Gambling Prediction
Date: Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Venue: U.S. Cellular Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: FSD, CSN
Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox Betting Lines from
Money Line:Sox -121
Over/Under: 8.5
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Detroit Tigers (54-48 through July 25)
Max Scherzer (11-5, 4.35)

That means every impact player on the Tigers’ talented but shallow roster has to produce.

And that includes the enigmatic Max Scherzer. We all know how could this guy can be. He once struck out 14 batters in a five-inning start. But he’s been a real rollercoaster for the Tigers this season.

During a seven-start stretch from May 31 to July 2, he got torched for five-plus runs four times.

But is Scherzer righting the ship? He’s allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Maybe his 2011 will mirror his 2010, when he had a 4.61 ERA before the All-Star break and a 2.47 ERA afterwards.

Chicago White Sox (50-51 through July 25)
John Danks (3-8, 3.92)

The Chicago White Sox are somehow very much alive in the weak AL Central and they have a golden opportunity at home to Detroit this week.

On Wednesday afternoon they’ll turn to John Danks, whose 3.92 ERA doesn’t fit his hard-luck 3-8 record.

Things are looking up for the lefty. He won his first start of the season on June 6 but hasn’t lost since, allowing two or fewer runs in five straight outings.

Danks has pitched to contact more this season, seeing his opponents’ average rise significantly but also cutting his walk rate. [dfads params=’groups=10&limit=1&return_javascript=0′]

Still waiting on that Adam Dunn turnaround? He likely won’t be much help to Danks on Wednesday. Somehow, Dunn has been worse since the All-Star break, hitting .154 in seven games since after posting a putrid .160 average in the first half.

MLB Trends

Over is 6-1-1 in DET last 8 games following a win.
DET are 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
Over is 5-2-1 in DET last 8 overall.
Under is 19-5-4 in CHW last 28 overall.
Under is 19-5-4 in CHW last 28 on grass.
CHW are 2-6 in their last 8 home games.
Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings in Chicago.
DET are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago.

MLB Free pick:

Though Danks has been much better of late, he has just three wins over 12 career starts against the Tigers. The man simply cannot get Magglio Ordonez out. Mags bats .577 (15 for 26) with two homers and seven RBI all-time against Danks.

Victor Martinez has punished him for three long balls in 23 at-bats and Carlos Guillen bats .462 off him.

Meanwhile, Scherzer has a 2.56 lifetime ERA with 44 strikeouts in 45.2 innings against the Pale Hose.

Based on the numbers, it appears a Tigers victory is in the cards for Wednesday.

Tigers vs White Sox prediction: Tigers 5, White Sox 2

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By Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.