Tuesday MLB Betting – Tigers vs Rangers Preview & Pick
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MLB Betting – Tigers vs Rangers Preview & Pick
Date: Tuesday, June 7, 2011
Venue: Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, Arlington, TX
Broadcast: FSD, FSH
Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers Betting Lines from BetOnline.com
Money Line: Texas -144
Over/Under: 9.5 (-105)
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Detroit Tigers (31-27 through June 5)
Rick Porcello (5-3, 3.79)
One of the majors’ streakiest teams this season, the Tigers have won six of seven games, largely because their pitching has improved of late. Take Tuesday’s probable starter, Rick Porcello. Sometimes we forget that he’s just 22 years old and has plenty of time to become a star. Maybe it shouldn’t be a huge shocker that he’s allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts. He’ll never be overpowering and he may always have trouble with the gopher ball but Porcello could have a nice career as a pitch-to-contact guy with great control.
Can he survive a trip to Texas? On one hand, he’s 3-1 with a 2.39 ERA on the road this season. On the other, the Rangers rocked him for six runs and 10 hits in four innings the only other time he faced them in his career.
Texas Rangers (34-26 through June 5)
Matt Harrison (5-4, 3.26)
Whereas Porcello’s development accompanies a prospect pedigree, Matt Harrison continues to baffle me. [dfads params=’groups=10&limit=1&return_javascript=0′]
It looked like he was crashing back to Earth in early May; then, over his last two starts, he threw 14.1 scoreless innings. The guy only struck out four batters over that span. He’s like Porcello – but with more walks. So how is he good?
Harrison has a brutal track record against Detroit, going 1-2 with a 7.17 ERA and five homers allowed over just 21 innings. Ryan Raburn absolutely demolishes him, going 5 for 7 (.714) with two homers and five RBI all-time.
MLB Trends:
Over is 8-1-1 in DET last 10 Tue. games.
Over is 10-4-1 in DET last 15 road games.
Over is 9-1-1 in Porcellos last 11 Tue. starts.
TEX are 1-7 in their last 8 Tue. games.
Over is 6-1-1 in TEX last 8 Tue. games.
Over is 7-3 in TEX last 10 overall.
Over is 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings in Texas.
DET are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in Texas.
The pick:
The most important bet you can make tonight is the OVER. Porcello and Harrison could be primed to serve up platters of gopher balls tonight. All the righthanded Texas power bats (Beltre, Cruz, Young, Kinsler) should scare Porcello. Harrison has been brutal against Detroit in his career but the current Harrison looks like a new beast and Texas’ lineup is just much more potent. Go with the home team.
Tigers vs Rangers prediction: Rangers 7, Tigers 5
