MLB Betting – Brewers vs Diamondbacks Preview & Pick
The Milwaukee Brewers need to get hot in a hurry. The competition has become too fierce in the National League Central to allow for a slump.
THE BEST SPORTSBOOK FOR AMERICA’S PASTTIME! – CLICK HERE NOW + BET ON MLB TODAY!
MLB Betting – Brewers vs Diamondbacks Preview & Pick
Date: Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Broadcast: FSWI, FSAZ
Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Lines from Justbet.com
Money Line: D-Backs -110
Over/Under: 9
CLICK here for INDEPTH MLB ATS Stats for this matchup —>
Bet now at BETONLINE —>
Talk smack about MLB Baseball Today In Our Forums –>
Milwaukee Brewers (51-46 through July 17)
Chris Narveson (6-6, 4.74)
The Brew Crew was already contending with St. Louis and Cincinnati for first place – but now the Pittsburgh Pirates have leapfrogged all three teams? Huh?
For Milwaukee to win the Central, it will have to improve on its pitiful 18-32 road record. But the deck may be stacked against the Brewers Wednesday night in Arizona. Chris Narveson has one win in 10 starts away from Miller Park this year. He also has serious trouble retiring Chris Young, who has a pair of homers over just eight at-bats against him.
Arizona Diamondbacks (52-44 through July 17)
Joe Saunders (6-8, 3.89)
Every National League West team has bowed down to San Francisco except the Arizona Diamondbacks, who continue to pursue the Giants closely. The home cooking of the All-Star Game did them well; they’d won three straight through Monday’s action. [dfads params=’groups=10&limit=1&return_javascript=0′]
It certainly helps that the D-backs haven’t missed a beat since closer J.J. Putz went down; David Hernandez is 7 for 7 in save opps since taking over the closer’s role and might not relinquish it.
The D-backs will send Joe Saunders to the hill. I’m not sure how he does it – he walks guys left and right and serves up homers galore – but he finds a way to be effective. Saunders has seven quality starts in his last 10 tries.
MLB Trends
Over is 9-3 in MIL last 12 Wed. games.
MIL are 4-9 in their last 13 road games.
Over is 11-5 in MIL last 16 overall.
ARI are 7-3 in Saunders’ last 10 starts on grass.
MIL are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Arizona.
MLB Free pick:
Saunders has struggled at Chase Field this season, posting a 4.89 ERA and winning twice over nine starts. In his lone career start against Milwaukee, he got torched for six runs and two homers over 5.2 innings.
One of the guys to tag him was Ryan Braun; it’s no surprise, as righties hit .284 off Saunders this season compared to .212 for lefties.
Narveson won’t be much better but I think the Brewers can outslug the D-backs in what should be a slugfest on Wednesday night. Hernandez has been amazing but I simply don’t think he’ll get the save chance.
If you’ve read my work over the last few years, you’ll know that I can’t stand Saunders. He’s so lucky, so overrated, and I pretty much refuse to bet on him.
Brewers vs Diamondbacks prediction: Brewers 7, Diamondbacks 6
