Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers
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Sunday October 10 – 1:00PM
Bank of America Stadium – Charlotte, North Carolina
Broadcast: FOX
Chicago (3-1) -140 vs Carolina (0-4) +125 (Odds courtesy of BetUS)
Spread Favourite: Carolina -1.5
Over/Under: 33
(odds courtesy of BetUS – BET NOW Click Here!)
Chicago
Despite an ugly loss to the Giants last Sunday night the Bears are off to a better than expected start. Their 3-1 record includes a key victory over Green Bay and their offense was piling up a good amount of yards due to the combination of offensive coordinator Mike Martz passing schemes and the strong arm of QB Jay Cutler.
It has already been announced that due to a concussion suffered last week Cutler will not start against the Panthers on Sunday. His backup is the venerable Todd Collins who I could have sworn was coaching a couple of seasons ago. Collins is a heady guy but even in his prime was never very highly thought of. He definitely does not possess the arm of Cutler and his presence as the starter leads many to believe the offense will stall, hence the very low total for the game.
Unfortunately these are not the Bears of recent vintage who could beat you by running the ball and playing superior defense. Matt Forte has struggled in the running game due to poor offensive line play and it is that same poor offensive line that let Cutler get slaughtered by the Giants last week. Until they find a way to shore it up the Bears may not build upon their great start that much.
They also just might Todd Collins killed. 
Carolina
While the Bears have exceeded expectations the Panthers certainly have not. One look at the roster shows a very young team but it is was one expected to be more like .500 not winless a month into the season. The team has not quit though and almost upset the defending Super Bowl Champion New Orleans Saints last week on the road.
A result of their losing is that they are now trying out rooke QB Jimmy Clausen. Opening game starter Matt Moore was brutal in two starts but sadly Clausen has been almost as bad in his two starts. I never liked Clausen at Notre Dame and if he keeps it up we just might see another rookie at the reins in Tony Pike. At least he has a winning pedigree. (Sorry I can’t resist and ND dig)
The real shocker to the season for the Panthers is that the ground game hasn’t clicked. Many tout DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart as the best running back duo in the NFL. They both rushed for over 1000 yards last year but this year has been a much different story. The offensive line hasn’t produced and both backs have really struggled. Carolina is the lowest scoring team in the league. You are not going to win too many games averaging 11.5ppg.
The Pick: Neither teams comes into the game feeling all that great about their chances. Carolina should have a home edge but with Clausen at QB they just might throw it away. This could easily be the most boring game of the year…but Carolina wins it.
NFL Gambling Trends
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Bears are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Panthers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Panthers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Score Prediction: Carolina 19 – Chicago 10
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