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NFL Week 8 – Cleveland vs San Francisco

Cleveland Browns (3-3) at San Francisco 49ers (5-1)

When: 4:15 PM ET, Sunday, October 30, 2011
Where: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, California
Broadcast: FOX
Browns vs. 49ers Betting Lines from betonline.com
Spread: 49ers -9 1/2
Moneyline: Browns +385: 49ers -470
Over/Under: 38.5 points

The Cleveland Browns travel West in Week 8 to take on the surprising San Francisco 49ers. Cleveland is coming off an utterly underwhelming win over Seattle last week while the 49ers are coming off their bye looking to build on an impressive four game winning streak. Cleveland has taken a step in the right direction this season but the oddsmakers don’t seem to think that they will have any luck against a 49ers team that is finally emerging as a top flight organization.

Cleveland is certainly nothing special offensively – they own the 22nd ranked passing game, the 29th ranked running game and they are 27th in the NFL in scoring. Injuries have hit the team hard in recent weeks – Peyton Hillis is still highly questionable with a groin injury and wideout Mohamed Massaquoi sustained a concussion along with Ben Watson last week – all are questionable for this week. Montario Hardesty who is averaging just 3.3 yards per carry on the season will likely handle the rushing duties on the back of a 33 carry 95 yard effort last week.

Colt McCoy will have to be the best Brown on the field this Sunday – San Francisco owns the 2nd best run defense in the league and is giving up just 74.67 yards per game. It will be up to McCoy to exploit San Francisco’s 22nd ranked pass defense and will have to do it with Greg Little as the only healthy starter. McCoy isn’t exactly on fire – he passed for just 178 yards, zero touchdowns and one interception last week.

Cleveland’s defense has been great against the pass this season (2nd in the NFL) but has been vulnerable versus the run (19th in the league). With Frank Gore coming at them, it is difficult to imagine the Browns defense having any success at all. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

The San Francisco 49ers has the second best record in the NFL after seven weeks – believe it! Coach John Harbaugh has totally changed this franchise around. The Niners have been able to do what all good teams do – run the ball and stop the run!

The 49ers bring the 31st ranked passing game into Sunday’s match. It is hard to imagine that Alex Smith, Michael Crabtree, Vernon Davis and Braylon Edwards are going to win the game for San Francisco. Their job is simply to limit mistakes – something that they have done exceptionally well this season. It will be up to San Francisco’s 6th ranked running game to get it done against Cleveland’s sketchy run defense. Frank Gore has been on a mission and after a slow start is 8th in the NFL in rushing with 541 yards.

Defensively, San Francisco has been superb this season – an unflattering 22nd against the pass but an incredible 2nd against the run. They will pose more than enough problems for the injury riddled Browns offense this week for the Niners to seize victory.

Betting Prediction: The Cleveland Browns are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games and are 2-3-1 ATS in their last six on the road. They are 5-16 SU in their last 21 games on the road and are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games overall. Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in their last five as an underdog. The San Francisco 49ers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games and are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games at home. The 49ers are 6-1 SU in their last seven games overall but are a miserable 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games after a bye.

San Francisco is simply in a different category than the Cleveland Browns. The 49ers running game should be able to dominate this game from beginning to end. Cleveland is banged up offensively and they are brutal on the road. With San Francisco playing at a high level in every aspect of the game, this has all the makings of the blowout of the weekend. 9 ½ points don’t scare me at all!

Pick: San Francisco 49ers -9 ½

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NFL

Week 8 Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles Free Pick & Prediction

NFC East Game Previews- Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Date/Time: Sunday, Oct. 30 8:20 p.m. (ET)
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA.
Broadcast: NBC
Cowboys @ Eagles lines by BetOnline.com
Point spread: Eagles -3.5
Over/Under: 50.5

The Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles square-off this Sunday night in front of a prime-time audience at Lincoln Financial Field in a crucial NFC East showdown between two teams trying to desperately stay in the division race. Kick-off is slated for 8:20 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on NBC.

Dallas is off to a 3-3 start straight-up (3-2-1 against the spread) but it could easily be 5-1 or 1-5 given that five of its first six games have been decided by four points or less. Last week was the Cowboys first convincing win as they pummelled St. Louis 34-7 as 14-point home favorites. The total has gone 3-3 in the six games.

Much of the praise and criticism heaped on Dallas this season has been directed squarely at Tony Romo. He has been directly responsible for a couple of ugly losses and one dramatic come-from-behind victory already this year. His costly interceptions as well as his gutsy performance with a broken rib have formed the perfect love-hate relationship with Cowboy fans.

Philadelphia’s 2-4 start both SU and ATS has accented the hate part of its relationship with its fans as this team has woefully underperformed so far this year. The Eagles started the season with a 31-13 victory over the Rams as four-point road favorites and went into their bye last week with a 20-13 win over Washington as three-point road favorites, but everything in between has been forgettable.

The biggest problem with this team, along with a defense that cannot stop the run, is a turnover ratio of -8 that has proved costly in its four losses. If Michael Vick starts taking better care of the ball, the Eagles will get back to their winning ways. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog and the total has gone ‘over’ in 12 of their last 15 games against the NFC.

The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a bye week and the total has gone ‘over’ in 13 of their last 19 games overall.

Head-to-head in this series, Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last five games in Philadelphia and 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings overall. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of the previous seven meetings.

Andy Reid is a perfect 12-0 SU coming off a bye in his tenure with the Eagles and keeps the streak intact with the outright win, but stick with Dallas to cover with the 3.5 points.

The Pick: Philadelphia 27 Dallas 24

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NFL

Week 8 Washington Redskins vs. Buffalo Bills Free Pick & Prediction

NFC East Game Previews- Washington Redskins vs. Buffalo Bills

Date/Time: Sunday, Oct. 30   4:05 p.m. (ET)
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto
Broadcast: FOX
Redskins @ Bills lines by BetOnline.com
Point spread: Bills -6
Over/Under: 46.5

The Washington Redskins and the Buffalo Bills head north of the border this Sunday afternoon for an inter-conference matchup at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. The game is slated for a 4:05 p.m. start and it will be broadcast nationally on FOX.

Washington jumped out to a surprising 3-1 start, but two straight losses have dropped it to .500 on the year straight-up and 3-3 against the spread. Last week, it lost to Carolina 33-20 as a 1.5-point road underdog. This followed a 20-13 setback to Philadelphia as a three-point home underdog. The total has stayed ‘under’ in four of its first six games.

Injuries are starting to pile-up on a Redskin team that was not that deep to begin with. Running back Tim Hightower and tight end Chris Cooley have been placed on the IR list and are done for the year, while wide receiver Santana Moss is out until mid-November with a hand injury. The list does not end there as a few other key starters remain questionable for this game.

Buffalo is another team that jumped out to a fast start with three straight wins, but after two losses in its last three games, it is 4-2 SU (3-2-1 ATS) overall. This will be the Bills third-straight game against the NFC East after beating Philadelphia 31-24 as three-point home underdogs and losing to the Giants 27-24 as three-point road underdogs before last week’s bye.     [soliloquy id=”82219″]

While Buffalo’s defense is still suspect, giving-up an average of 24.5 points a game, its offense is ranked third in the NFL in scoring, with an average of 31.3 points a game. Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has done a good job managing the game and Fred Jackson’s 601 yards on the ground has the Bills ranked fourth in rushing offense.

The Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as road underdogs. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of their last seven road games.

The Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight home games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following a SU loss. The total has now gone ‘over’ in their last seven games overall.

Buffalo has never won a regular season game in the Rogers Centre but coming off a bye against a decimated Redskins’ offense, this Sunday will be its first. Stick with the Bills to win and cover the six points in front of our neighbours to the north.

The Pick: Buffalo 31     Washington 17

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NFL

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Giants Free Pick & Predictions

NFC East Game Previews – Miami Dolphins vs. New York Giants

Date/Time: Sunday, Oct.30   1 p.m. (ET)
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J.
Broadcast: CBS
Dolphins @ Giants lines by BetOnline.com
Point spread: Giants -10
Over/Under: 43

The winless Miami Dolphins will try and halt the losing streak at six when they face-off against the New York Giants this Sunday afternoon at MetLife Stadium. Kick-off is slated for 1 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on CBS.

The turmoil in South Florida has reached fever pitch as Miami’s 18-15 overtime loss to Denver as a one-point home underdog dropped it to 0-6 straight-up on the year. The Dolphins have not even been competitive as they have failed to cover the spread in five of their games with one ending as a ‘push’. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of the six games.

The problems with this team are numerous and across the board. Miami’s offense ranked is 19th overall in the league and 30th in scoring with an average of 15 points a game and its defense is ranked 23rd overall and 22nd in points allowed.

New York has had some shaky moments this season, but overall it is clearly the best team right now in the NFC East with an overall record of 4-2 SU (3-2-1 ATS). It is coming off a bye after knocking-off Buffalo 27-24 its last time out as a three-point home favorite. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of its six games.  [soliloquy id=”82219″]

The one thing that has held true this season for the Giants is that when Eli Manning takes care of the ball they tend to win the game. He has  completed 63.8 percent of his passes for 1,778 yards and 11 touchdowns, but has also thrown five interceptions and fumbled twice. Overall the team has a turnover ratio of +4.

The Dolphins are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The total has stayed ‘under’ in four of their last five games as road underdogs.

The Giants are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as home favorites and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week. The total has gone ‘over’ in nine of their last 14 games against a team with a losing record.

The 10 point spread could be tempting given New York’s home trends ATS, but this is a very bad Miami team that has yet to cover this year. Stick with the Giants to add to the Dolphins misery with a big win on Sunday.

The Pick: New York 27      Miami 13

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NFL

Online NFL Football Betting? – Week 8 Picks

NFL Betting – Week 8 Picks

Tough week for the favorites in the NFL indeed – nice effort on Monday night Baltimore! Hopefully the NFL teams fall back in line and allow the Handicappers to have a little success this week.

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NFL

2011 NFL Gambling: Lines | Week 8 Matchups & Predictions

2011 Week 8 NFL Gambling Lines: Top 3 Matchups and Predictions

The odds makers earned their paychecks last week as things were even right across the board. In the 13 games on the schedule, six favorites and six underdogs each covered with one game ending as a ‘push’.

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NFL

NFL Week 8 Power Rankings

NFL Week 8 Power Rankings

Each week during the heart of the NFL season, and once or twice during the NFL Preseason, we’ll gather the troops around the roundtable and hash out the NFL Power rankings. We check out the stats, looks at the records, and, most importantly, we take a close, close look at the heart of each team. 

Best performance from previous week

Its a tossup between Kansas City (28-0 against Oakland) and New Orleans (62-7 against Indy).  For K.C. it was an upset and then some but that score from the Saints game was like watching a Big Ten team play a team from the MAC…a bad team from the MAC.

Worst performance form previous week

I want to give to to an entire game not just a team.  Thank you very much Cleveland and Seattle for that 6-3 masterpiece.  Good think contraction wasn’t on the agenda for the recently completed labour battle.

Honourable mention:  Baltimore

Best Game This week

New England at Pittsburgh – A couple of serious contenders meet at Heinz Field.  New England is coming off their bye week while the Steelers had little trouble with Arizona last Sunday.  Both teams are in tight races right now and this one will help determine the order of things once the playoffs start.

The Rankings

Green Bay (7-0) – Don’t be fooled by the final score against Minnesota the game wasn’t really that close.  The Pack are looking better and better but the yards Adrian Peterson put up were worrisome.  If a team could get the lead and be able to run the ball they would be a threat…IF.

New Orleans (5-2) – The Saints might be a little high this week but after last weeks overwhelming performance I felt I had to bump them over teams that had the week off.  Hopefully Ingram’s injury is just a nick because he just had his best game as a pro.

New England (5-1) – Patriots are looking good but it would help if they used their bye week to crank up their defense.  It needs to get better if they want to maintain AFC favourite status.

San Francisco (5-1) – It is surprising to see them this high but it is hard to find reasons for them not to be.  The key will be whether Alex Smith and can keep it up for a whole season.

Baltimore (5-2) – What a stinker on Monday night I had them in the two spot heading into the weekend and now I am wondering if this is still too high.  There is no reasonable explanations for why the team was so incompetent.

Pittsburgh (5-2) – The start of the season is looking more and more like an aberration with each passing week.  The defense is not as strong and the team has injuries but this is still a force to be reckoned with.

New York Jets (4-3) – They may be only 4-3 and in third place but they are playing much better.  Sunday’s win was among the better in the league this year.  When they get that running game going they are hard to beat.

Houston (4-3) – Totally didn’t see the Texans blowout of the Titans coming.  They are a ½ game up on Tennessee at the top of the division and will get reinforcements when Andre Johnson comes back.  AFC sleeper right now.

Chicago (4-3) – Bears keep winning forcing me to bite my tongue.  They are definitely in the mix in the NFC right now with wins against Tampa Bay and Atlanta holding potential strategic value down the rod.  I still don’t see how they keep it up though.

Atlanta (4-3) – Speaking of Atlanta, last week’s win was vital.  This team has a higher ceiling than Chicago above but I didn’t feel right putting them on top of the Bears because they jumped them the opening week.  I need to see more.

Detroit (5-2) – It might be unravelling in Motown.  Two straight losses and now an injury to Matt Stafford.  They have one more week to get through before the bye.  Stafford or not, they should be able to beat Denver.

Buffalo (4-2) – Out of sight out of mind for the Bills.  Their two losses are by only three points each but they didn’t play last week so I am reserving some judgment for now.  They get the Redskins in a nice spot on Sunday.

San Diego (4-2) – Surprised to see them so low…so was I.  This team has talent but still hasn’t shown it yet.  They are in prime time and on the road at KC this week.  Maybe that can shake them out of their slumber.

New York Giants (4-2) – The G-Men are at the top of the NFC East with an offense that keeps surprising.  Look for them to jump a spot or two after playing lifeless Miami on Sunday.  Beware bettors, this is the same team that lost at home to Seattle killing survivor poolies everywhere. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Tampa Bay (4-3) – The NFC South is nice and tight.  The Bucs can’t seen to get on a good run and Josh Freeman was shockingly awful in London.  They better use the bye wisely because you know the Saints will be looking for revenge in a couple of weeks.

Philadelphia (2-4) – The Eagles are still clinging to life support.  After their bye they have back to back home prime time games against Dallas and Chicago.  Most overreported stat of the week:  Andy Reid has not lost after the bye as the coach in Philly.  If they are 4-4 in two weeks then they might have a shot salvaging the season.

Cincinnati (4-2) – The Bengals are laying in wait and get back to business this week after last week’s rest.  They are flying out to Seattle which is a nice soft landing spot so look for them to climb the rankings next week.

Tennessee (3-3) – The Titans just looked dead last week in their loss to division rival Houston.  Speaking of dead, Chris Johnson has been awful most of the season averaging less than 3 yards per carry.  This team is going to continue to sink as the year goes on.

Dallas (3-3) – Dallas has evened their record for now but a trip to Philadelphia looms.  They have talent but haven’t been able to get it all going just yet.  A road win next week would give them a big jump but I refuse to put them high on this based on preseason expectations.  Its week 8 already.

Kansas City (3-3) – Lost their first three then won the second three.  .500 seems like the right level for a team that overachieved last year and has injuries.  Last week was impressive though against rival Oakland.

Oakland (4-3) – Even before he played many were questioning the merits of acquiring QB Carson Palmer.  Now it is looking like the worst trade in NFL history.  This team has a bye at the perfect time.

Carolina (2-5) – The Panthers are definitely building something with Cam Newton.  They may not have more wins than some of the team below but they have the most promise…and they are exciting.

Washington (3-3) – All season long, even before they lost to Carolina, I didn’t like this team.  On offense they are predictable and have no elite talent.  Defense, same thing.  I don’t know why people think they are good.

Cleveland (3-3) – They got the win last week over Seattle in what was one of the ugliest games I can remember.  Next week they are at San Francisco, it might be a blood bath.

Jacksonville (2-5) – Where did that defensive effort come from on Monday night.  The offense stunk but with defense like that they might get to 5 wins.

Denver (2-4) – Well the fans got what they wanted.  Tebow is in and they won, in dramatic fashion.  This is still not a very good team and Tebow’s overall performance was uninspiring.  Detroit is next and they are going to be pissed.

Arizona (1-5) – Arizona, Seattle and St. Louis are a combined 3-15.  The only reason I have this team at the top of that group is they have a couple of players you can actually like.  However, there is talk of benching Kevin Kolb who has been horrible lately.

Minnesota (1-6) – There is a lot of competition at the bottom of this list this year.  Minnesota is the only surprise team this far down…not to worry, they have earned this spot.

Seattle (2-5) – The only reason they escape the bottom three is because they actually have a couple wins this season.  If they were gunning for the top spot in the draft they are going to have slow down a bit and lose to division rival St. Louis – both times.

Miami (0-6) – I don’t think anyone saw them being this bad when the season began.  Essentially they have no offense.  They have to get rid of their coach.  He may not be the problem but something has got to give.

St. Louis (0-6) – With Bradford already on the roster it is hard to believe they are in the Suck for Luck sweepstakes.  They are not losing on purpose they are just very bad.

Indianapolis (0-6) – Speaking of Luck it would be interesting to see what the Colts might do with the top overall pick.  When the Packers drafted Aaron Rodgers and told him to hold a clipboard for a couple of years that worked out pretty well.  Will this team even win a game this year?

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NFL Week 7 Game Capsules

NFL Betting – Week 7 Roundup

Week 7 in the NFL. The Weisguy takes over for Matt and offers up these recaps for your NFL viewing pleasure.

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Week 7 NFL Lines & Spread Prediction

MNF – Baltimore vs Jacksonville Week 7 Gambling Preview

While a handful of projected AFC contenders have started slow out of the gate, the Baltimore Ravens are right where they expected to be at the top of the AFC North after winning four of their first five games.

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Indianapolis Colts vs. New Orleans Saints Week 7 NFL Lines & Spread Prediction

SNF – Colts vs Saints Week 7 Gambling Preview

Less than two years removed from their Super Bowl XLIV clash, the New Orleans Saints are set to host the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday Night Football.

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Steelers vs. Cardinals 2011 Week 7 NFL Betting Preview

Week 7 Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals NFL Free Pick – Odds – Handicapping Preview

The Seattle Seahawks return from their bye this week in search of their third win in four games when they travel East to take on a Cleveland Browns team that is certainly improved but has lost two straight games.

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Redskins vs. Panthers Betting Preview – NFL Lines

Venue/ Stadium: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC

After last week’s 4 INT game Washington (3-2) head coach Mike Shanahan made a switch and John Beck, who has not started a NFL game since 2007, will get the starting nod under center taking over for Rex Grossman.

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Denver vs. Miami Week 7 NFL Lines & Spread Prediction

Broncos vs. Dolphins Week 7 Gambling Preview

When the New England Patriots fell to the Cleveland Browns in one of the most surprising results of last year’s regular season, it was simply an aberration for a team that went on to win 14 games and clinch the best record in the NFL.

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Seahawks vs. Browns 2011 Week 7 NFL Betting Preview

Week 7 Seattle Seahawks vs Cleveland Browns NFL Free Pick – Odds – Handicapping Preview

The Seattle Seahawks return from their bye this week in search of their third win in four games when they travel East to take on a Cleveland Browns team that is certainly improved but has lost two straight games.

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Chargers vs. Jets Gambling & NFL Free Prediction (Week 7)

Gambling Matchup Week 7 – San Diego Chargers vs NY Jets

The Chargers, winners of three straight, come into MetLife fresh off of a bye week looking to continue their run of good play. The Jets are on the flip side however, they have lost three of their last four.

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Texans vs. Titans NFL Preview: Week 7 Free Pick

NFL Football Previews – Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

The AFC South is officially up for grabs this Sunday. Houston had a golden opportunity to distance itself from Tennessee last week with the Titans on the bye but couldn’t get the job done against a tough Baltimore team. The winner of this week’s Texans/Titans showdown will sit alone atop the division.