Articles by Cappers Picks related to Online sports cappers betting tips and sports gambling analysis and wagering trends.
Line Movement
The line movement has not been much as the Tar Heels opened as one to two-point favorites and the line has risen slightly to -2.5 with a -3 out there as well. This is a surprising line move as most money has come in on Florida St. yet the line is going the opposite way.
The total opened at 48 and has remained steady.
Odds: FSU +3.5 | ML: +115 | O/U 48
Odds: UNC -2.5 | ML: -135
Like a giant leak on a sinking ship, one of the first signs of a poor pro football team is weak run defense. Stopping the run is essential to building a championship team. Who won the Super Bowl in January? The Steelers, a team with the No. 1 overall defense, including No. 2 against the run. In 2007, the eventual champion NY Giants were No. 8 against the run.
Texas gets signature win in ugly fashion:
Heading into the Red River Shootout against Oklahoma, most experts didn’t know just how good this Texas team is because they really hadn’t been tested up until this past Saturday. It wasn’t pretty by any stretch of the imagination but Texas pulled out a 16-13 win over the Sooners in a tough, hard fought game. Texas knocked out Oklahoma quarterback Sam Bradford early in the first half but still let the Sooners’ QBs throw for 327 yards.
Have you come to Capperspicks.com looking for the best NFL picks over the years?
We’re sure you have. We’re here to help you.
There has been enough football under our belt in this conference to weigh out my power ratings. I use these as overlays against the spread. Much like many novice cappers do with the Sargin ratings in USA Today against the Las Vegas Line. It is not broken down by division but is an overall ranking based on offense, defense, special teams, turnover ratios, and a few other intangibles.
Oakland, St. Louis, and Tampa Bay can’t cover any number:
The Oakland Raiders were 15.5 point road underdogs against the New York Giants this past Sunday and got beaten to a bloody pulp, losing 44-7. Their offense is just plain awful. They are averaging 9.8 points per game and only 191.6 yards of total offense. JaMarcus Russell, the former number one overall pick, is a total bust as he thrown only 1 touchdown pass in the first five games. Defensively, the Raiders aren’t much better, giving up 26 points per game.
Let’s examine some of the top factors and handicapping trends on teams in the USA TODAY Coaches’ Top 25 Poll on this week’s college football card in games versus lined opponents. Note: No. 6 Boise State played and won, 28-21, at Tulsa on Wednesday.
Top 25 ranking in (parenthesis). Home team in CAPS. All results are ATS – Against The Spread – unless noted otherwise…
Nebraska is the team to beat in the Big 12 North:
Nebraska squared off against an undefeated Missouri team on Thursday night and came away victorious. The weather conditions were extremely poor with the rain causing both teams to make mistakes. Nebraska trailed 9-0 at halftime and 12-0 at the end of the third quarter.
Each week Ben Burns and David Payne scour the non-BCS conferences looking for a hidden gem.
Life is tough in the MWC and WAC. Lose one game, and you go from a potential BCS bowl to the Humanitarian Bowl. That’s a mammoth pay cut, and a lot of pressure on the coaches from the non-BCS conferences.
A recent Monday night football game saw Brett Favre battle his old team, Green Bay. Favre was the story, with a terrific performance, but young QB Aaron Rodgers put up some sizzling numbers, with 384 yards and 2 TDs. Impressive.
Did they win? Or cover? No, as Minnesota won 30-23.
The most obvious explanation and it’s obvious: 2 turnovers. Turnovers are one of the most basic fundamentals of winning football, both straight up and against the number when analyzing football picks.
Saints get signature win and look like an elite team:
The New Orleans Saints took on the undefeated New York Jets this past Sunday and came away with a 14 point victory as 7 point home favorites. It appears that no one can stop the balanced offense of the New Orleans Saints, not even Rex Ryan’s attacking 3-4 defense. Drew Brees didn’t have a big day numbers wise as he only threw for 190 yards and one touchdown but he made the big play in crunch time. With Pierre Thomas back healthy the Saints were able to show that the Saints are not just a passing team.
IDAHO: 5-0 ATS
Most experts picked the Idaho Vandals to finish at or near the bottom of the WAC standings heading into the season but they have been cashing tickets for their backers all season long. Idaho is 4-1 straight up but an astounding 5-0 against the spread making them the most profitable team in college football through the first five weeks. Idaho has been the underdog in all five of their games but they have won all of them except one.
Oklahoma not a BCS Team without Sam Bradford:
Oklahoma has played two ranked teams this season and failed to win either one of them. This past week they went on the road to play Miami as a 7 point favorite and lost the game outright. The Sooners sorely miss the reigning Heisman Trophy winner Sam Bradford. Landry Jones was highly touted out of high school but simply lacks the leadership qualities that Bradford possesses.
Two top 25 College Football teams square off on Thursday night when Nebraska travels to Missouri to take on the 18th ranked Tigers. Nebraska enters this game at 3-1 straight up but they have covered all four of their opening games. Their only loss came at Virginia Tech in a game where the Huskers had plenty of chances to pull off the upset.
Let’s examine some of the top factors and handicapping trends on teams in the USA TODAY Coaches’ Top 25 Poll on this week’s college football card in games versus lined opponents.
Top 25 ranking in (parenthesis). All results are ATS – Against The Spread – unless noted otherwise…
Line Movement
Missouri was catching a point in some places and two points in most shops when this number came out on Sunday. The line has been driven up to three points across the board and that is where it will likely stay until we get closer to gametime.
Odds: Nebraska -3.5 | ML: -165 | O/U 52.5
Odds: Missouri +3.5 | ML: +145
