Does Home Field Advantage Matter in Today’s NFL Championship Picks?
The NFL season has whittled the field down to four NFL Picks teams, two of which will earn the honor of participating in this years Super Bowl. Teams play all season attempting to end up with a record that would earn them the right to play at home during the “second season” of NFL Picks. You hear all the time of teams boasting that the road to the Super Bowl goes through them. All and all that’s decent banter or great things to write about but does home field really matter? In this season’s version of Playoff Picks the home teams are a profit draining 3-5 ATS as well as that same amount SU. But, that’s prior to today’s championship games. So, does it change when the NFL Picks winner is actually going to the Super Bowl? In general, home field advantage has meant very little once the teams reach this round, as since 1993, home teams are only 18-14 SU for 56%, the lowest winning percentage of any playoff round. So let’s take a look at some more indepth stats that could give us a betting edge in today’s Conference Championship Picks.
When road teams are favored in the conference championship round, they are a very profitable 4-1 SU & 3-1-1 ATS since 1993. In addition, when the road team has an equal or better record than their opponent they 5-2 SU & 4-2-1 ATS.
In conference championship picks without double-digit pointspreads, the straight up winner is 24-0-1 ATS since 1993.
If you look at Conference specifics the road team winning has been far more common in the AFC, with eight in the past 16 conference championship games. Those same road teams are also 9-6-1 ATS. In the NFC, home teams are 10-6 SU but only 8-8 ATS.
Championship game home teams that are not #1 seeds are just 3-5 SU & 2-5-1 ATS since 1993.
Wild Card Teams are an impressive 6-3 SU & 6-2-1 ATS record in their L10 times reaching the conference championships. In this decade, they are 4-1 SU & ATS.
Home favorites of less than 9.5 or dogs with 2+ more regular season wins than their opponent are 6-3 ATS in the championship round.
Michael Alexander has been scorching hot in the NFL Picks Playoffs posting an impressive 6-2 mark including 2 Huge Power Play WINNERS!
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