Author: The Wiesguy

Week 9: Trojans vs. Jaguars Predictions

College football Week 9 betting action sees the Troy Trojans taking on the South Alabama Jaguars on Friday October 24 at Ladd-Peebles Stadium in Mobile, Alabama. Cappers Picks provides free college football handicapping tips all season long.

It may be only midseason but the Trojans are already looking to play spoiler in the Sun Belt. South Alabama is proving to have adapted to FBS pretty quickly.

College Football Odds

Troy Trojans (1-6) vs. South Alabama Jaguars (4-2)
Friday October 24
7:30PM
Ladd-Peebles Stadium – Mobile, AL
ESPN2
College Football Betting Lines: South Alabama -13.5
College Football Betting Total: 54.5
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Troy

It is getting harder and harder to remember that Troy used to dominate the Sun Belt. Sadly things are going about as well as expected this season.

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They have the lone win over New Mexico State, which means they won’t go zero for their conference slate but they don’t have much chance to hang a loss on the Jaguars. Fortunately in this unbalance league they draw a couple of the weaker program in November.

Those might actually be good opportunities so don’t completely forget about Troy.

Only three FBS teams give up more points than Troy. Last week they gave up 53 points to Appalachian State at home so the odds of things improving in the short term are not very good.

Not helping their defense is the fact that the offense is pretty terrible too. Troy scores less than 20ppg and their once powerful passing offense is now mediocre at best.

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Troy is no longer a threat in the league.

South Alabama

The Jags lost their Sun Belt opener to Georgia Southern but have been keeping pace with them ever since with three wins in a row. Because of that loss they will need the Eagles to drop a couple of games but there is room for South Alabama to be in that top tier within the league.

They will have to play well though after this gimme. The rest of their conference schedule features games against the other league contender, teams like Lafayette and Arkansas State.

South Alabama is not a very explosive team but they are sound. The strongest part of their game is a running attack averaging close to 200ypg.

They use a lot of backs too with 4 already having passed 150 yards on the ground for the season, each averaging more than 4 yards per carry.

QB Brandon Bridge is a dual threat but he has to get better, he is completing only 51% of his passes and won’t be much help if they find themselves down in this one.

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NCAA Football Handicapping Trends:

• Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 8-1 in Trojans last 9 games in October.
• Over is 6-1 in Trojans last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Under is 6-0 in Jaguars last 6 games following a ATS loss.
• Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Over is 7-0-1 in Jaguars last 8 games in October.

NCAA Football Week #9 Prediction: South Alabama -13.5

The Sun Belt is unfamiliar to many so don’t get caught up in the history of Troy and assume things are going to turn.

NCAAF Score prediction: South Alabama 27 – Troy 10

They are bad, South Alabama isn’t.

Check out our Updated NCAA Football Week 9 Odds.

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