Free Week 3 Prediction: Seahawks vs. Falcons NFL Odds
Looking for Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Free NFL Week 3 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Seahawks taking on the Falcons on Sunday, September 25th, 2022 at Lumen Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Seattle – Atlanta matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
Seattle Seahawks (1-1) vs. Atlanta Falcons (0-2)
Date: Sunday, September 25th, 2022
Time: 4:25 PM EST
Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
NFL Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: Seahawks -2 (-110) | Falcons +2 (-110) (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 3 Moneyline Odds: Seahawks -125 | Falcons +102
NFL Week 3 NFL Betting Total: O/U 42.0
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Pete Carroll and America try to figure out which Geno will show up each week and the Falcons must overcome two close losses to start the season.
Seattle Seahawks
There’s a saying in poker when someone hits a momentum wall. It’s called, “catching a cooler”. Maybe you’ve won a couple hands, you’re catching cards, your chip stack is starting to grow again but you run into a monster hand and it cleans you back out.
That’s what week 2 was to Geno Smith. After beating Russ head to head in his first game back since forcing his way out of Seattle, Geno was bottled up, throwing for zero scores and an interception against the 49ers. It will be hard for the offense to be explosive this season as they’re going with a lot of short throws, evidenced by Geno’s 5.3 air yards/attempt which is dead last in the NFL.
Seattle’s rush defense gets some praise, ranking 9th by DVOA. The Seahawks also do a good job of making the quarterback uncomfortable, ranking 7th in pressure rate. It will be interesting to see how the defense changes without Jamal Adams though. Seattle still managed a sack and 7 TFL against the Niners.
Pete Carroll is an experienced coach and Seattle was 6-4 ATS after a loss in 2021, covering by an average of +1.7. I think we should be expecting a bounceback this week.
Atlanta Falcons
It would have been easy for Atlanta to roll over after being down 28-3 (!) but a blocked punt for touchdown and a late fumble recovery later and the Falcons stormed back on the spread.
Mariota was mostly shutdown running the ball compared to week 1 and threw two picks. The Rams have a stalwart of a run defense that we’ll need to keep an eye on. The big story offensively for the Falcons was rookie Drake London. The first receiver off the board in the 2021 NFL draft finished with 8 catches for 86 yards and a score.
Atlanta actually grades out pretty well offensively, ranking 12th in offense by DVOA and have posted 53 points to start the year. Turnover margin remains critically important and the Falcons are -1 to start the year, driven by their league-leading 3 fumbles lost. As that stabilizes, they may start to win the close ones.
The defense is where the Falcons lack though, ranking 31st in points per drive allowed. They’ll no doubt welcome Geno Smith after facing Matthew Stafford in LA. Atlanta does struggle to get pressure however, coming in at 28th in pressure rate.
NFL Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
- Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games when playing Atlanta
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: Seahawks -2
I think the total is right here and the spread has these teams as essentially even. I like Pete Carroll and the Seahawks off a loss, coming back into one of the NFL’s best homefield advantages.
The Falcons defense hasn’t shown much this season and generates relatively no pressure, which should present Geno with an easy matchup. The key here will be the Seahawks getting stops against an offense that has good pieces and has averaged 26.5 ppg.
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