Free Week 4 Prediction: Patriots vs. Packers NFL Odds
Looking for New England Patriots vs. Green Bay Packers Free NFL Week 4 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Patriots taking on the Packers on Sunday, October 2nd, 2022 at Lambeau Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New England – Green Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
New England Patriots(1-2) vs. Green Bay Packers(2-1)
Date: Sunday, October 2nd, 2022
Time: 4:25 PM EST
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: Patriots+9.5 (-110) | Packers-9.5 (-110) (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 4 Moneyline Odds: Patriots+375 | Packers-500
NFL Week 4 NFL Betting Total: O/U 40.0
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The Patriots seemed to be turning the corner last season in the post-Brady era with a playoff berth last season. Cut to this year and things have not looked as promising as Pats fans may have hoped.
After most of Wisconsin was sent reeling with a Week 1 blowout loss to the Vikings, the Packers have rebounded quite nicely. Back-to-back wins and they’re poised for their third straight and 2nd at home.
New England Patriots
The Patriots are 1-2, losing both games by at least 11 points, and their lone win was a close game against the Steelers.
Add in the fact that they’ll be without starting quarterback Mac Jones and their odds of success dwindle that much more.
His replacement is the 36 year-old Brian Hoyer who hasn’t had a start since 2020. That game resulted in a loss to the Chiefs where Hoyer threw for just 130 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception. He hasn’t won a start in his last 11 tries going back to the 2016 season. Hoyer has made 15 appearances since 2018 and has averaged only 3.6 passing yards per pass attempt.
On the season, they’re averaging 16.7 points on offence, having surpassed 17 points just once through 3 games. They’ve leaned heavy on their run game and you can expect that to continue. Running back Damien Harris leads the team with 160 yards on the ground with 2 scores. He’s supported by Rhamondre Stevenson who just one touchdown on the year and 145 rushing yards so far. These two will get a lot of touches on Sunday with their main arm out for this contest.
On defence, they’re conceding 23.7 points an affair and they rank 8th against the pass but 22nd in scoring defence. In terms of turnovers, they’re a -4 but when you look at their ability to get to the QB, they’re tied for 4th with 10 sacks.
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay enters Lambeau Field 2-1 on Sunday and are poised to continue the roll that they’re on.
Week 2 saw them take out the Bears 27-10 which was expected but it was the following week that was the true test for Aaron Rodgers and company. He was up against Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who were 2-0 before the Packers came away with the slim 14-12 win in Florida. They clearly faced a superior team in Tampa Bay and a superior defence.
Now, back at home, they will still have their work cut out for them in terms of opposing defences with a solid staff. That being said Rodgers is 23-2 at home during the regular season under Matt LaFleur.
The offence is averaging 16.0 points for while giving up 15.0 against. Rodgers has thrown 4 TDs and off of 684 yards but is still figuring out who his favourite targets are.
On the ground, they rank 9th in rushing yards per game and we can expect them to utilize that strength to peel away at New England’s defence.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Patriots are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
- Patriots are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games
- Packers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game
- Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4
- Packers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games
- Packers are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Packers -9.5
Don’t over think this one, the disparity between these two clubs is still worth the spread especially with Hoyer stepping in as play-caller. Add in the fact that they have injuries elsewhere on the offensive side and they’ll struggle to move the ball.
Green Bay is going to run the ball but don’t be surprised to see Rodgers test the air against a defence that is allowing 218.7 passing yards against.
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