Free MLB Pick: Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(75-69-0) Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays (83-63-0)
Date: Saturday, September 18th, 2022
Time: 01:37 PM ET
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto
Projected Pitchers: Dean Kremer (BAL) vs. Alek Manoah (TOR)
MLB Money line Odds: Orioles +167 Blue Jays -192
MLB run line Betting Odds: Orioles +1.5 (-130), Blue Jays -1.5 (+110)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.0
It’s a battle between two clubs out of the American League East and two teams that are vying for a Wild Card spot come October.
These Division rivals have seen each other quite a few times already this season and while the Orioles were owning the Jays through the their early meeting, it’s Toronto who has been coming away with the more recent victories.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles are just 6 games above .500 after dropping their last 2 contests to the Blue Jays. Baltimore looked good at the beginning of September with four wins in a row that put them at a 71-61 record.
Now they sit at 75-69, are fourth in the division and are 5 games back of the last Wild Card Spot in the American League. On the road they’re 34-39 and are 29-36 within their division.
Over the past 15 days they’re sporting a .230 average at the plate, connecting just 99 times for 48 runs. During that stretch they’re also in the bottom five in terms of team ERA at 5.01.
Opposing teams have taken them to task with a .281 batting average against. They’ve also lost 7 of their last 13 games by 3 or more runs which included getting blown out 17-4 by the Red Sox just over a week ago.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays are heating up at the right time, having won 4 of their past 5 games and 8 of their last 11. They’re 20 games above .500 right now and are just 5 games back of the Yankees for the lead in the A.L. East.
Their strength has been their play at home this season with a 43-31 record in Toronto which puts them tied for 2nd in A.L. in home wins.
Over the past 15 days the Jays are 3rd with a .272 batting average and a OPS of .761 which puts them inside the top ten for that category.
August may not have been their best showing but it’s been a September to remember thus far with just 4 losses this month.
Bo Bichette has picked up his play as of late as well with a third best .433 average in the past 15 days. That puts him up there with the likes of Aaron Judge and Freddie Freeman who are 1 and 2 during that stretch. Bichette, who had a rough August, leads all of MLB with the most runs, hits, doubles and RBIs in the last 15 days.
Going a bit further back, Toronto’s pitching has an ERA of 3.71 through the past 30 days and a batting average against of .244.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Orioles are 17-37 in the last 54 meetings
- Over is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings in Toronto
- Orioles are 16-35 in their last 51 Sunday games
- Blue Jays are 11-3 in their last 14 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
- Blue Jays are 14-4 in their last 18 vs. American League East.
- Blue Jays are 21-6 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 12-4 in their last 16 overall
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Prediction:
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. said it best, last year was the trailer and this year is the movie. This blockbuster has been fun to watch and it’s been dominant at the right time.
So why can’t that continue, especially with Ace Alek Manoah on the mound. Manoah leads the team with a 2.43 ERA and 14 wins this season. He’s on a two game win streak when factoring in the decision and the Jays have covered the run line in their last 3 games with him on the mound.
I’m digging Toronto on the run line and while it may not mirror the last two 6-3 results for the Jays, the fact that 10 of Baltimore’s last 11 losses have come by 2 or more runs is promising.
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