{"id":9405,"date":"2009-03-12T22:15:28","date_gmt":"2009-03-13T03:15:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=9405"},"modified":"2009-03-12T22:17:52","modified_gmt":"2009-03-13T03:17:52","slug":"march-madness-handicapping-lessons-120309","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/ncaa-basketball\/march-madness-handicapping-lessons-120309\/","title":{"rendered":"Evan Altemus&#8217; March Madness Handicapping"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>LESSONS TO TAKE AWAY FROM THURSDAY&#8217;S CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS<\/h2>\n<p>Thursday was the first day for conference tournament action from the biggest conferences in the NCAA.\u00a0 There were some interesting results from those games, but they were not as surprising as you might think.\u00a0 Let&#8217;s take a look at how we can use these outcomes to help predict what will happen in the <a title=\"NCAAB Picks\" href=\"\/ncaab\/\" target=\"_self\">NCAA tournament<\/a>, when it matters the most.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/respsportscapping.php?capper\/capper\/303\/Evan%20Altemus\/AF23_15\"><strong>VIEW EVAN ALTEMUS\u2019 DAILY SPORTS PICKS PAGES \u2014-&gt;<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>First and foremost, several bubble teams struggled over the last few days, as there are reasons why they were on the edge of making the tournament in the first place.\u00a0 Teams like Providence, Arizona, UNLV, Kansas State, and Notre Dame all lost or did not play particularly well in the last two days.\u00a0 These bubble teams have been inconsistent all season, yet the betting public feels that they will automatically cover a spread just because it&#8217;s a &#8220;must win&#8221; game of the.\u00a0 They had several games though down the stretch that they desperately needed and sometimes weren&#8217;t able to get, which is why they are now in this position.\u00a0 These teams haven&#8217;t shown the ability to develop as the season has progressed, which is why they now have to scramble to get into the tournament.<\/p>\n<p>However, teams like Michigan, Oklahoma State, Virginia Tech, and Baylor all had very impressive blowout wins or wins against top caliber competition in their opening round conference tournament games.\u00a0 All of those teams, except Baylor, have improved as the season has gone on and\/or lost several close games that could have gone either way.\u00a0 They have developed throughout the season and are better than the oddsmakers and betting public are giving them credit for.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/go\/bovada\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft\" style=\"margin: 1px; border: 1px solid #ffffff;\" title=\"MySportsbook.com\" src=\"http:\/\/www.mysportsbook.com\/mysb_banners\/sportsbook\/320x110\/320x110_ref2.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"320\" height=\"110\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0One interesting note about Baylor is that they are a team loaded with seniors which under performed all season.\u00a0 They have the talent and experience capable of a run and finally played up to their ability with wins over Nebraska and Kansas in the Big 12 tournament.\u00a0 Watch out for supposed lesser teams with a great deal of experience over the next three days.<\/p>\n<p>One last trend to take away from the last two days of conference tournament action is the parity in almost every game.\u00a0 Supposed Final Four locks like Pittsburgh, Connecticut, and Oklahoma were all challenged or beat by under-rated conference competition.\u00a0 The main point to take away is to look for under-rated quality underdogs in the tournament, especially if these teams have improved significantly over the second half of the season.\u00a0 These teams will come in confident because of their recent play.\u00a0 They will also be facing opponents which are over-confident and over-rated.\u00a0 These dogs not only have an outstanding chance of covering, but winning outright as well.\u00a0 Teams that come to mind are West  Virginia, Villanova, Oklahoma State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Syracuse, VCU, Virginia Tech, Florida State, and Auburn.\u00a0 Now of course this is assuming that these teams make the tournament.\u00a0 These teams might seem like obvious choices based on their recent performances, but if they are that obvious then why didn&#8217;t you take them over the last few days?\u00a0 The betting public will continue to ignore these improving teams capable of pulling off several wins as underdogs in the NCAA tournament.<\/p>\n<p>There is a tremendous amount of parity in college basketball this season.\u00a0 The best way to be successful in the NCAA tournament is to look for undervalued underdogs which have consistently improved throughout the season.\u00a0 Look for the rest of March Madness to be loaded with upsets and top teams losing earlier and more often than expected.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/respsportscapping.php?capper\/capper\/303\/Evan%20Altemus\/AF23_15\">Grab A 3 Day Picks Package From Evan For $49.95. This is Evan\u2019s weekend package that many clients will grab on Friday to get all of his winners through the weekend at a discounted price!<\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Thursday was the first day for conference tournament action from the biggest conferences in the NCAA.  There were some interesting results from those games&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1415],"tags":[120,11602,6549,8410,4212,11332,2988,11604,9096,5876,11390,11603,10938,661,2889,1305,11392],"class_list":["post-9405","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ncaa-basketball","tag-baylor","tag-big-12-tournament","tag-bubble-teams","tag-cbb-point-spreads","tag-college-basketball-handicapping","tag-conference-tournament-handicapping","tag-evan-altemus","tag-evan-altemus-articles","tag-evan-altemus-picks","tag-gambling-tips","tag-handicapping-winners","tag-march-madness-gambling-tips","tag-march-madness-handicapping","tag-michigan","tag-oklahoma-state","tag-virginia-tech","tag-wagering-on-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9405","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/68"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9405"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9405\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9407,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9405\/revisions\/9407"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9405"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9405"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9405"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}