{"id":8942,"date":"2009-02-25T23:29:15","date_gmt":"2009-02-26T04:29:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=8942"},"modified":"2023-02-07T06:36:26","modified_gmt":"2023-02-07T14:36:26","slug":"line-movement-betting-tips-250209","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/cappers\/line-movement-betting-tips-250209\/","title":{"rendered":"Line Movement Explained"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Training Camp: From the linesmaker<\/h2>\n<p>I can\u2019t deny the fact that I\u2019ve got a great job. But it\u2019s not like I spend all day sipping mai-tais and browsing the swimsuit issue. I have to make sure that the betting lines I put up are an accurate reflection of the betting marketplace \u2013 one half-point in the wrong direction could take food off my plate.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Some people still think my job is to pull the wool over our customers\u2019 eyes and take their cash. I think the informative articles you\u2019ll find on this website prove otherwise. We want our customers to make educated bets so nobody loses his shirt \u2013 us included. So let me play the Answer Man for a moment and give you an insight into the nature of what we do around here.<\/p>\n<p><strong>How are game totals set?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s common knowledge among bettors that the online gambling industry pays close attention to <a title=\"Sports Consultants\" href=\"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\">Las Vegas Sports Consultants<\/a>, a private company that handles the odds for casinos and newspapers. But the totals I set have to reflect our customers\u2019 preferences for betting the over or under on certain teams in certain situations. Also, because LVSC lines are published early, I have to keep on top of injuries and potential changes in coaching strategy leading up to the game in question before I release any totals. This is doubly important in basketball, where pace determines how many shots will be taken in 48 minutes.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Why do lines move?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ideally, the lines I release will balance the action equally, so that the winners get paid out from the pockets of the losers and we take the vigorish. That\u2019s an ideal that rarely happens \u2013 especially in sports without a pointspread, like NASCAR and golf. If Team A is getting too much action, I\u2019ll move the line toward Team B to try to achieve that balance. My personal preference is to tweak the vig from \u2013110 to \u2013105 or +100 before taking the bigger step of moving the spread a half-point or more.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Are there ways to make money from line movements?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Absolutely. When the lines go up for the NFL, or for the first game of the NCAA men\u2019s basketball tournament, there are several days in between the open and the game itself where movement can take place.<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft\" style=\"margin: 1px; border: 1px solid #ffffff;\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bodogaffiliate.com\/resources\/banners\/sportsbook\/square\/250x250\/250x250e-sportsbook.gif\" border=\"0\" alt=\"Sports Betting at the Sportsbook\" width=\"250\" height=\"250\" \/> You\u2019ll find that the betting public tends to pile in on their favorite teams once they get home from work on Friday. You can anticipate these line movements and time your bet accordingly to take advantage.<\/p>\n<p>Sometimes a line will move far enough to create a \u201cmiddle\u201d opportunity. Say the Texas Longhorns end up facing the Wisconsin Badgers in the first round of March Madness. If you have Texas early as a 5-point favorite, and I move the line to Texas \u20137 later in the week, then you can also place a bet on Wisconsin +7. If Texas happens to win by six points, both your bets cash in. Texas winning by either five or seven gives you a win and a push. Any other result creates a win and a loss, so you\u2019re only risking the vigorish.<\/p>\n<p><strong>What type of betting statistics do you recommend?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If you want to predict what will happen when Team A meets Team B, your best stats to analyze are those generated in their most recent head-to-head matchups at the same venue. The habits of the betting public are fairly constant, so ATS results in general have a longer shelf life, but don\u2019t bother going too far back in time. The 2009 New York Yankees are going to look a lot different than the 2008 Yankees or the 2000 Yankees.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Do multiple deposits count toward special promotion offers?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Yes. If you receive a special offer from our marketing team, and you make several deposits adding up to X dollars before the expiry date, it qualifies the same as one big deposit of X dollars. We remind you, though, to be aware of our deposit method fees and take those into account.<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bodog.eu\/welcome\/151627\/sportsbook\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">Get all the latest lines on all the major sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, PGA, Tennis, Boxing and  more at Bodog &#8211; CLICK HERE!!!!&#8230;<\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Bodog linesmaker explains the ins and outs of what it takes to set online betting lines and provides insider online gambling tips&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[258],"tags":[11114,11113,210,10351,212,11112,2066,220,11118,11110,11109,11116,11117,2229,11111,11115],"class_list":["post-8942","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cappers","tag-betting-statistics","tag-betting-stats","tag-bodog","tag-bodog-articles","tag-bodog-life","tag-bodog-promotions","tag-bodog-sportsbook","tag-bodoglifecom","tag-bookmaker-gambling-tips","tag-bookmakers","tag-bookmaking","tag-game-totals","tag-las-vegas-sports-consultants","tag-line-movement","tag-special-promos","tag-why-do-lines-move"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8942","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8942"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8942\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":102995,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8942\/revisions\/102995"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8942"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8942"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8942"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}