{"id":8557,"date":"2009-02-19T08:17:44","date_gmt":"2009-02-19T13:17:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=8557"},"modified":"2009-02-19T11:56:17","modified_gmt":"2009-02-19T16:56:17","slug":"college-hoops-betting-analysis-190209","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/cappers\/college-hoops-betting-analysis-190209\/","title":{"rendered":"CBB Betting Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Burns&#8217; Bad Beats\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p><em>David Payne writes for Ben Burns.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>If times weren\u2019t tough enough, does it feel like our little hobby, betting college hoops, is becoming more and more difficult?<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s because it is.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Does it feel like you\u2019re suffering more bad beats? You\u2019re not. You\u2019re just choosing the wrong games to bet.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/respsportscapping.php?capper\/capper\/302\/Ben%20Burns\/AF23_15\"><strong>Click Here NOW to View Ben Burns\u2019 Weekly Picks \u2014&gt;<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>On Saturday, there were 35 college basketball games decided by three points or less of the spread.<\/p>\n<p>On January 10, one of the earliest Saturdays in conference play, there were only 27 games decided by three points or less of the line.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s nearly a 30-percent increase in a month of in games that bettors would be wise to avoid.<\/p>\n<p>Those sweaters might as well be decided by coin flips. The slightest bad call, missed free throw or Tim Floyd temper-tantrum can cost you at any time.<\/p>\n<p>To be blunt, if you win one, it was luck; if you lose one, you shouldn\u2019t have been betting on that game to begin with.<\/p>\n<p>But things aren\u2019t all gloom and doom for gamblers.<\/p>\n<p>There are still plenty of winnable wagers out there. We\u2019ve just got to find them.<\/p>\n<p>On Saturday, there were 31 games decided by 10 points or more of the line. Those are safe covers, locks if you must. A bad call, missed lay-up or something fluky isn\u2019t going to cost you in that situation. If one does, that is the definition of a bad beat.<\/p>\n<p>But how do we go about pinpointing the safe covers and avoiding the nail-biters?<\/p>\n<p>Certainly, that\u2019s the magic question with no absolute answer.<a href=\"http:\/\/www.wgmg.co.cr\/aspx\/affiliateStoreClick.aspx?ID_SC=1286&amp;ID_I=274\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft\" style=\"margin: 1px; border: 1px solid #ffffff;\" title=\"Just Bet\" src=\"http:\/\/banners.wgmg.co.cr\/aspx\/affiliateGetImage.aspx?ID_SC=1286&amp;ID_I=274\" border=\"0\" alt=\"Just Bet\" width=\"250\" height=\"250\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s take a look at Saturday\u2019s card and breakdown the 35 games that were decided by three points or less and the 31 games that were decided by 10 or more points of the game.<\/p>\n<p>Hopefully, this will show us a few things of how to avoid the sweaters and how to pounce on the blowouts.<\/p>\n<h3>Breakdown: Easy Winners<\/h3>\n<p>Saturday\u2019s 31 games decided by more than 10 points of the line.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022Don\u2019t touch road favorites. There were 24 road favorites on Saturday\u2019s card, only three\u2014Kentucky, Creighton and Memphis\u2014posted double-digit covers.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022Road underdogs produced the most double-digit covers with 12. Home favorites followed with nine, and home dogs covered by double digits seven times.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022Play double-digit dogs, and avoid double-digit favorites. Ten of the 31 games involved double-digit favorites. Underdogs covered in seven of those 10.<\/p>\n<h3>Breakdown: Bad Beat Possibilities<\/h3>\n<p>Saturday\u2019s 35 games decided by three points or less of the spread.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022Don\u2019t be scared of big spreads. There were 35 double-digit favorites Saturday. Only nine of those games finished within three points or less of the spread.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022Small point spreads don\u2019t always result in close games. There were 22 games on Saturday\u2019s card with lines of less than four. Only nine of them were decided by three points or less.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/respsportscapping.php?capper\/capper\/302\/Ben%20Burns\/AF23_15\">Click here to\u00a0See More from Ben Burns &#8211; Including \u00a0His Free Picks + Expert Selections &#8211; Grab 1 Month Of Picks For Less Then $400 Today!!! &gt;&gt;&gt;<\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If times weren\u2019t tough enough, does it feel like our little hobby, betting college hoops, is becoming more and more difficult? That\u2019s because it is&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[258],"tags":[2390,9155,9147,9144,9146,9145,9159,9114,5086,9163,540,9316,6978,9152,9151],"class_list":["post-8557","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cappers","tag-ben-burns","tag-ben-burns-free-picks","tag-ben-burns-handicapping","tag-ben-burns-picks","tag-ben-burns-predictions","tag-ben-burns-sports-picks","tag-burns-bad-beats","tag-cbb-handicapping","tag-college-hoops-betting","tag-experts-picks","tag-guaranteed-picks","tag-ncaa-hoops-betting-analysis","tag-ncaab-handicapping","tag-respected-sports-monitors","tag-sports-monitor"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8557","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/68"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8557"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8557\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8559,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8557\/revisions\/8559"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8557"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8557"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8557"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}