EXPERTS for guaranteed premium Week 3 NCAA football plays<\/strong><\/a>!<\/p>\nThis week I\u2019m targeting to small favorites of under a TD. The two games are Memphis vs. Cincinnati<\/b> and Pittsburgh vs. Virginia<\/b>. I\u2019m betting on the Bearcats \u20134 and Cavaliers \u20136.5 to both cover at home.<\/p>\nGame #1 \u2013 Memphis Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats<\/h3>\n
NCAA Football Point Spread:<\/b> Bearcats \u20134
\nNCAA Football Over\/Under:<\/b> 64 Points<\/p>\n
The Cincinnati Bearcats 2-1 (1-2 ATS) hosts the Memphis Tigers 2-2 (3-0-1 ATS) at Paul Brown Stadium. Both teams lost last week, as Cincinnati lost to OSU (50-28) and Memphis lost to Ole Miss (24-3).<\/p>\n
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These two teams are opening up their AAC schedule this week. Memphis won the games that they were expected to win (Austin Peay & Middle Tennessee) and lost to two ranked teams (UCLA & Ole Miss).<\/p>\n
The Bearcats beat Toledo and Miami (OH) to open the season and lost badly last week although that was expected and I don\u2019t think Cincinnati will let that loss on the road affect them heading into this game.<\/p>\n
Gunner Kiel is having a great year and Cincinnati currently averages 353.0 PYPG (9th). Kiel has thrown for 1041 passing yards, 14 TD\u2019s and 2 INT\u2019s. He’ll have success against Memphis (227.8 PYPG \u2013 53rd).<\/p>\n
Running the football has been a bit of an adventure for the Bearcats (105.7 RYPG \u2013 112th), but Memphis allows 131.5 RYPG (50th). I expect Cincinnati to run the football for over 150+ yards this week.<\/p>\n
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The Tigers hosted the Bearcats last season and Cincinnati came away with a 34-21 win. Cincinnati threw for 329 passing yards in that game. Cincinnati isn\u2019t a real good team, but they still have a lot of talent.<\/p>\n
Memphis will score some points, as the Bearcats are allowing 36.0 PPG (108th). However, with Memphis being on the road in this game I expect Cincinnati to run away with this game late and cover ATS.<\/p>\n
NCAA Football Pick:<\/b> Bearcats pull away late and cover the \u20134 point spread.<\/p>\nGame #2 \u2013 Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Virginia Cavaliers<\/h3>\n
NCAA Football Point Spread:<\/b> Virginia \u20136.5
\nNCAA Football Over\/Under:<\/b> 47 Points<\/p>\n
These two teams played last year and the Panthers won 14-3 at home and covered ATS, but Virginia was horrendous last season and they\u2019re a much better football team this year through five games.<\/p>\n
Pittsburgh has been getting worse, as the season has progressed. They have lost two in a row against the likes of Iowa (24-20) and Akron (21-10). The loss last week to Akron has to sting for Pittsburgh.<\/p>\n
We know what the Panthers are going to try and do in this game and that\u2019s run (269.4 RYPG \u2013 16th). We\u2019ll see a healthy dose of James Connor carrying the football, but I expect him to have a bad game.<\/p>\n
Virginia ranks 10th at stopping the run (86.6 RYPG) and the defense as a whole has improved. Virginia has only allowed 23.2 PPG (54th) and they\u2019ve played three ranked teams (UCLA, Louisville & BYU).<\/p>\n
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Pittsburgh does have a good defense that\u2019s only allowing 158.4 PYPG (10th) and 106.8 RYPG (24th), but you have to consider who they\u2019ve played. All of their opponents have been weak offensive teams.<\/p>\n
The Cavaliers are a below offense that\u2019s averaging 240.6 PYPG (64th) and 167.4 RYPG (70th). Matt Johns is expected to play the whole game at QB, as Greyson Lambert is banged up and questionable.<\/p>\n
I think Johns gives them the best chance anyways, as he has been solid through the air and has 6 passing TD\u2019s compared to Lambert\u2019s 2 passing TD\u2019s. With this being in Virginia, I\u2019ll take them at home.<\/p>\n
Virginia beat Louisville (23-21) already this season and they\u2019re sitting with a 3-0 record at home. They\u2019re also 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. This will be low scoring, but I still like Virginia to cover.<\/p>\n
NCAA Football Pick:<\/b> The Cavaliers play exceptional defense and cover ATS at home.<\/p>\n