{"id":6935,"date":"2009-01-08T00:26:18","date_gmt":"2009-01-08T05:26:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=6935"},"modified":"2023-02-07T07:08:28","modified_gmt":"2023-02-07T15:08:28","slug":"florida-oklahoma-betting-analysis-70109","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/ncaa-football\/florida-oklahoma-betting-analysis-70109\/","title":{"rendered":"Florida vs. Oklahoma Betting Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>2009 BCS Championship Game Preview<\/h2>\n<p>The biggest betting event of the college football season is knocking at your door. It\u2019s the BCS Championship Game between the No. 1 Florida Gators (that\u2019s No. 1 on the AP poll) and the No. 2 Oklahoma Sooners, the last and by far the most important of the 34 bowl games this year.<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->It\u2019s also your best chance to get paid &#8211; casual bettors who don\u2019t know the end zone from a hole in the ground will be throwing their money into the pot, just for kicks. They might lack a basic, fundamental understanding of the two teams in question, but you won\u2019t.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Florida vs. Oklahoma<br \/>\n<\/strong><br \/>\nDolphin Stadium, Miami<br \/>\nThursday, 8:00 p.m. ET, FOX<br \/>\nClear, 60 degrees, light winds<br \/>\nFlorida: 12-1 SU, 10-2 ATS, Over 8-4<br \/>\nOklahoma: 12-1 SU, 10-2 ATS, Over 11-1<\/p>\n<p><strong>Odds: Florida -4 (-120); 71 (under -115)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Florida Gators<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Points per game: 45.2 (No. 3 in FBS)<br \/>\nPoints allowed: 12.8 (No. 4)<br \/>\nPassing yards gained: 212.6 (No. 62)<br \/>\nPassing yards allowed: 174.0 (No. 16)<br \/>\nRushing yards gained: 229.8 (No. 11)<br \/>\nRushing yards allowed: 105.3 (No. 15)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Oklahoma Sooners<br \/>\n<\/strong><br \/>\nPoints per game: 54.0 (No. 1 in FBS)<br \/>\nPoints allowed: 24.5 (No. 58)<br \/>\nPassing yards gained: 356.5 (No. 3)<br \/>\nPassing yards allowed: 253.1 (No. 99)<br \/>\nRushing yards gained: 205.5 (No. 17)<br \/>\nRushing yards allowed: 106.0 (No. 16)<\/p>\n<h2>BCS Championship betting\u00a0in Bodog&#8217;s\u00a0online sportsbook.<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Analysis<br \/>\n<\/strong><br \/>\nThe Sooners look very much like the weaker defensive team in this matchup, based on points and passing yards allowed. However, this is partly a product of playing in the Big 12 Conference. The Big 12 is top-heavy with offense, from Mike Leach\u2019s spread at Texas Tech to Mack Brown\u2019s Fiesta Bowl-winning program at Texas. Florida\u2019s defense encountered far less resistance coming out of the SEC this year.<\/p>\n<p>A look at the strength of schedule for both teams (as calculated by stathead Brian Fremeau) provides more context to the numbers above. Oklahoma\u2019s is ranked No. 6 in the FBS, while Florida\u2019s is No. 16. But that was during the regular season. The bowls have told a different tale so far, and it\u2019s not been kind to the Big 12 South:<\/p>\n<p>Holiday Bowl: Oregon (-1) 42, Oklahoma State 31<br \/>\nCotton Bowl: Mississippi (+3.5) 47, Texas Tech 34<br \/>\nFiesta Bowl: Texas (-8) 24, Ohio State 21<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft\" style=\"margin: 1px; border: 1px solid #ffffff;\" title=\"Sports Betting at the Sportsbook\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bodogaffiliate.com\/resources\/banners\/sportsbook\/square\/250x250\/250x250g-sportsbook.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"250\" height=\"250\" \/><\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s two upset losses and a stunning come-from-behind victory by the Longhorns to avoid a third. The Ole Miss result is especially significant, because the Rebels were the only team to beat Florida this year. The Rebs were 23-point puppies when they escaped Gainesville with a 31-30 win; Ole Miss proved that wasn\u2019t a fluke by beating yet another former No. 1 team in Texas Tech.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Meanwhile, the Rebs weren\u2019t the only SEC team to end the season on a high note:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Music City Bowl: Vanderbilt (+5) 16, Boston College 14<br \/>\nChick-fil-A Bowl: LSU (+4) 38, Georgia Tech 3<br \/>\nCapital One Bowl: Georgia (-9) 24, Michigan State 12<br \/>\nLiberty Bowl: Kentucky (+3) 25, East Carolina 19<\/p>\n<p>The Crimson Tide and Gamecocks both came up short in their bowl games, but that\u2019s still an impressive total performance by the SEC. It also throws a lot more weight behind Florida\u2019s ability to pulverize the rest of the conference. The Gators beat the quality foursome of LSU, Georgia, South Carolina and the ACC\u2019s Florida State Seminoles by at least 30 points each, then downed previously undefeated Alabama (+10) 31-20 to reach the national championship game.<\/p>\n<p>Oklahoma\u2019s long list of blowouts doesn\u2019t look quite as impressive in light of the bowl results. The closest winning margin the Sooners had this year was by 14 points against Kansas (+19.5), but they also had a relatively forgiving road schedule &#8211; OU\u2019s toughest test was in Stillwater, where the Cowboys (+10) gave a spirited effort before losing 61-41. The Red River Shootout loss to Texas was on neutral ground at the Cotton Bowl; Florida\u2019s victories over the Bulldogs and Tide were neutral-site contests.<\/p>\n<p>The Sooners still have the offensive firepower to beat any team on any given day, but with sophomore RB DeMarco Murray (5.6 yards per carry, 14 rushing TDs) out with a hamstring injury, the chances of Thursday being Oklahoma\u2019s day are pretty slim.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The biggest betting event of the college football season is knocking at your door. Bodog previews the 2009 BCS championship game&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[8235,8243,8238,210,8240,8241,2066,8242,2196,8236,6567,312,6222,8237,8078,8213,3202,782,8239],"class_list":["post-6935","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ncaa-football","tag-2009-bcs-championship-game","tag-2009-bcs-championship-preview","tag-bcs-betting-analysis","tag-bodog","tag-bodog-bcs-odds","tag-bodog-bcs-props","tag-bodog-sportsbook","tag-bodog-sportsbook-ncaaf-odds","tag-cfb-handicapping","tag-college-bowl-championship-preview","tag-college-bowl-preview","tag-college-football","tag-florida-gators-vs-oklahoma-sooners","tag-florida-gators-vs-ou-sooners","tag-florida-vs-ou","tag-gators-vs-sooners","tag-ncaa-football-handicapping","tag-ncaaf-lines","tag-ncaaf-title-game"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6935","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/68"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6935"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6935\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":106255,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6935\/revisions\/106255"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6935"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6935"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6935"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}