{"id":57744,"date":"2012-11-22T13:10:35","date_gmt":"2012-11-22T21:10:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=57744"},"modified":"2012-11-22T13:10:35","modified_gmt":"2012-11-22T21:10:35","slug":"oregon-ducks-vs-oregon-state-beavers-gambling-prediction-week-13-preview-221112","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/ncaa-football\/oregon-ducks-vs-oregon-state-beavers-gambling-prediction-week-13-preview-221112\/","title":{"rendered":"Oregon Ducks vs. Oregon St. Beavers Gambling Prediction &#038; Week 13 Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Ducks vs Beavers NCAA Football Spread\/Handicapping<\/h2>\n<p>The Oregon Ducks were hoping to bring a perfect record into their matchup with the Oregon State Beavers, but that won\u2019t be the case following a tough loss to the Stanford Cardinal last weekend. Oregon is still the fifth-ranked team in the country, but they\u2019re up for another big challenge in the final regular-season game of the year. <!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong>No. 5 Oregon Ducks (10-1) vs. No. 15 Oregon State Beavers (8-2)<br \/>\nSaturday November 24, 2012<br \/>\nReser Stadium, CORVALLIS, ORE.<br \/>\n3:00 PM ET<br \/>\nMoneyline: Oregon -360, Oregon State +280 from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/go\/bovada\">Bovada<\/a><br \/>\nSpread: Oregon -9.5<br \/>\nO\/U: 65.5<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/capperspicks.sportsdirectinc.com\/football\/ncaaf-matchups.aspx?page=\/data\/NCAAF\/matchups\/g8_summary_27.html\" rel=\"nofollow\">ATS Matchup Stats<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/capperspicks.sportsdirectinc.com\/football\/ncaaf-preview.aspx?page=\/data\/NCAAF\/matchups\/g8_preview_27.html\" rel=\"nofollow\">Gambling Insight!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Check out our in-house Handicapper!!! <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/handicappers\/ray-monohan-sports-picks\" target=\"_parent\">Buy Razor Ray&#8217;s Picks Today!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Beavers have been one of the surprises of the college football season, and they would love to earn their first Civil War victory since 2007.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Oregon Ducks<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Oregon Ducks had a national championship within their grasps, but they let it slip away with a 17-14 overtime loss to the Stanford Cardinal last week. <\/p>\n<h3><a title=\"CFB Picks\" href=\"\/handicappers\/\" target=\"_self\"><strong>CLICK TO GRAB OUR Expert CFB Picks for 2012 NCAA FOOTBALL Betting!<\/strong><\/a><\/h3>\n<p>They\u2019re looking to bounce back against the Beavers, but it won\u2019t be easy against another strong defense.<\/p>\n<p>The strategy for the Ducks is going to be getting the Beavers\u2019 offense off the field. If Oregon State follows the blueprint set up by Stanford, they\u2019re going to run clock and force Oregon\u2019s offense to score with limited time of possession. The best way to do this is by forcing turnovers. Oregon State may be the second-best team in the conference when it comes to controlling the ball, but they\u2019ve also given it away an average of four times per contest in their last two home games against their in-state rival.<\/p>\n<p>Controlling the ball is important, but what this game really comes down to is how well Oregon can run the ball. We saw last week that when their running is completely shut down, it limits what the offense can do in both the running game and the passing game. If the Ducks can\u2019t get Kenjon Barner and De\u2019Anthony Thomas going, this game could come down to the wire. If they can, however, they\u2019ll be running all over the Beavers\u2019 defense, and they\u2019ll put points on the board like they have been all season.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Oregon State Beavers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Oregon State Beavers have been outstanding all season, yet they\u2019ve seemingly been stuck in the shadow of their \u201cbig brother\u201d team from Eugene. Now the group from Corvallis has the chance to take down the Ducks, and they\u2019ll look to do it with their passing attack this weekend. [soliloquy id=&#8221;82219&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p>The Beavers have been borderline elite all season when it comes to their air attack. They\u2019ve dropped slightly in recent weeks because of quarterback health, but they are still 22nd in passing yards with 303.4 yards per game. The problem heading into this game, as it\u2019s been all season, is converting those yards into points. They are just 59th in the country in points per game, which could prove to be a problem if they can\u2019t stop Oregon\u2019s offense.<\/p>\n<p>But if Stanford proved anything last week, it\u2019s that the Ducks\u2019 offense can be stopped. The Beavers are 14th in the country in rushing defense, and that will be a huge area of concentration entering Saturday. Oregon State allows just 18.6 points per contest, and if they can keep Oregon anywhere near that mark, they\u2019ll have the edge at home.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately for the Beavers, stopping Oregon\u2019s offense is something only one team has done this season. The Ducks need help from the rest of the country when it comes to making the BCS title game\u2014as well as the Pac-12 championship\u2014but what they can control is how well they play against OSU. If they make plays out in space and utilize their speed, they should take advantage and bounce back from their first loss of the year.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Trends <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.<br \/>\nDucks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.<br \/>\nDucks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.<br \/>\nOver is 9-1 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.<br \/>\nOver is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 road games.<br \/>\nOver is 4-0 in Beavers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.<\/p>\n<p><strong>O\/U Pick: Over 65.5<br \/>\nScore Prediction: Oregon 39 \u2013 Oregon St. 27 <\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ducks vs Beavers NCAA Football Spread\/Handicapping The Oregon Ducks were hoping to bring a perfect record into their matchup with the Oregon State Beavers, but that won\u2019t be the case following a tough loss to the Stanford Cardinal last weekend. Oregon is still the fifth-ranked team in the country, but they\u2019re up for another big [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68,"featured_media":25278,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[39626,5406,324,327,5405,766,769,5403,5505,4906],"class_list":["post-57744","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaa-football","tag-39626","tag-civil-war","tag-college-football-odds","tag-college-football-predictions","tag-ducks-vs-beavers","tag-ncaa-football-lines","tag-ncaa-football-picks","tag-oregon-ducks-vs-oregon-st-beavers","tag-oregon-vs-oregon-st","tag-week-13"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57744","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/68"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57744"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57744\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":57748,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57744\/revisions\/57748"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}