{"id":45739,"date":"2011-11-18T14:49:21","date_gmt":"2011-11-18T22:49:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=45739"},"modified":"2011-11-18T14:49:21","modified_gmt":"2011-11-18T22:49:21","slug":"ufc-139-shogun-vs-henderson-preview-free-pick-181111","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/fight-club\/ufc-139-shogun-vs-henderson-preview-free-pick-181111\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC 139 Predictions and gambling Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>UFC 139 Preview and Picks<\/h2>\n<p>In a match for the ages, Shogun Rua takes on Dan Henderson in a battle of MMA legends. Rua is the complete package \u2013 Muay Thai and very good jiu-jitsu while Henderson is a wrestler by trade who loves to utilize his insane right hand to end fights. <!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong>UFC 139: Shogun vs. Henderson<\/strong><br \/>\nDate\/Time: Saturday, November 19, 2011, 9pm ET\/6pm PT<br \/>\nLocation: HP Pavilion, San Jose, California<br \/>\n<strong>Broadcast:<\/strong> Pay-per-view<\/p>\n<h3>Main Event<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Mauricio \u2018Shogun\u2019 Rua (20-5-0): -135<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Dan Henderson (27-7-0): +105<\/strong><\/p>\n<p> Rua certainly has the technique to keep Henderson at bay \u2013 low kicks should slow Henderson down just a little bit. But Henderson is a smart guy \u2013 he will pick his spots and land the necessary strikes to secure victory. I can\u2019t see a knockout in this one \u2013 Shogun is crafty enough to stay out of the danger zones. But I can see a Henderson victory. His ability to dumb a fight down, to wear an opponent out with dirty boxing will lead to a decision victory. It may not be pretty but Henderson\u2019s skills match up very well with Shogun\u2019s. In a close decision, pick the American to emerge victorious.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Dan Henderson +105<\/p>\n<h3>Main Card<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Wanderlei Silva (33-11-1): +115<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Cung Le (7-1-0): -145<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Cung Le makes his UFC debut against one of the most feared strikers in MMA Wanderlei Silva. Silva has lost four of his last eight fights and will certainly be motivated to prove all of his doubters wrong. Cung Le is an elite striker \u2013 his kicks and punches are as lethal as there is in MMA. Le also has a solid wrestling background. Make no mistake about it; this fight is going to be a standup war. I like the Axe Murderer to exorcise all of his demons on Saturday and to connect with the one shot that he needs to end the fight. Le will do some damage but not near enough to put Wanderlei away.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Wanderlei Silva +115<\/p>\n<p><strong>Brian Bowles (10-1-0): +175<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Urijah Faber (25-4-0): -220<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Two of the most respected and well rounded Bantamweight fighters in the UFC do battle in what will be a #1 Contenders match \u2013 the winner certainly aligning himself with a title shot. Both men are technical \u2013 Bowles holding the edge in the standup department and Faber being the better wrestler. I like Faber\u2019s speed and his ability to take a fight to the ground in this one. Faber is just a notch above Bowles in every aspect of MMA (except for striking and he\u2019s not far behind) and should get it done in what could easily be Fight of the Night on Saturday,<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Urijah Faber -220<\/p>\n<p><strong>Rick Story (13-4-0): -145<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Martin Kampmann (20-6-0): +115<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Martin Kampmann steps into the Octagon against striker\/wrestler Rick Story at UFC 139. Kampmann has been inside the Octagon with some of the best the Welterweight division has to offer. Kampmann\u2019s elite submission ability will win out over the power and wrestling prowess of Story in this one. Look for a Kampmann victory and a well thought out fight plan. Story will find some success in the stand up game but when the fight hits the ground it will be all Kampmann.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Martin Kampmann +115<\/p>\n<p><strong>Stephan Bonnar (13-7-0): +110<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Kyle Kingsbury (11-2-0): -140<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Stephan Bonner brings a strong Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and Taekwondo background to the Octagon on Saturday night against Kyle Kingsbury who relies on wrestling and Muay Thai. Kingsbury has proven to be a tough customer in the past but he hasn\u2019t faced anyone with the heart and the gas tank of Bonnar. The fact is that Bonnar simply won\u2019t go away in this fight \u2013 nothing that Kingsbury can do will faze the American Psycho. Look for Kingsbury to gain the early edge with Bonnar picking up steam toward the end of the fight. Bonnar is looking to regain some Octagon Cred. and should be able to get it against Kingsbury.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Stephan Bonnar +110<\/p>\n<h3>Spike TV Card<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ryan Bader (12-2-0): -280<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Jason Brilz (18-4-1): +210<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Two fighters that have recently struggled do battle with the loser in serious jeopardy of getting cut from the UFC. Ryan Bader burst on the scene but has lost two straight fights and is in need of a bounce back. Jason Brilz has won only one of his last three fights but does hold a memorable victory over Antonio Rogerio Noguiera.  [ad-3573245]<\/p>\n<p>Bader is simple the better fighter in this match. His loss to Jon Jones was to be expected. His loss to Tito Ortiz was not. But if Bader can keep his focus he should control this fight with his top notch wrestling.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Ryan Bader -280<\/p>\n<p><strong>Tom Lawlor (7-3-0): +300<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Chris Weidman (6-0-0): -400<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Tom Lawlor, a TUF alum has his hands full with one of the more exciting young Middleweight prospects Chris Weidman on Saturday. While Lawlor is a tough customer, Lawlor\u2019s striking and take down defense are not quite good enough to stifle Weidman\u2019s inevitable take down attempts. Weidman holds victories over Jesse Bongfeldt, Alessio Sakara, and Uriah Hall in his young career \u2013 that\u2019s good enough for me!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Chris Weidman -400<\/p>\n<p><strong>Preliminary Card<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Miguel Torres (39-4-0): -300<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Nick Pace (6-2-0): +220<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Former WEC Bantamweight Champ Miguel Torres takes on a fighter that some view as a Bantamweight prospect on Saturday night. Torres may not quite be in that elite class anymore but his great striking and above-average grappling should serve him well in this fight. Pace is a decent all around fighter himself but against Torres, he will be outclassed just about anywhere this fight happens to go. Take the experience to prevail.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Miguel Torres -300<\/p>\n<p><strong>Rafael dos Anjos (15-5-0): +150<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Gleison Tibau (23-7-0): -180<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>One of the biggest Lightweights in the UFC Gleison Tibau is in tough against one of the better ground practitioners in the division Rafael dos Anjos at UFC 139. Tibau will likely try to exploit his size to get this fight to the ground but once there dos Anjos should prove to be the better of the two. Wins over George Satiropoulos and Terry Etim were no fluke \u2013 dos Anjos is extremely tough to deal with. Neither fighter will win with striking, so take the better grappler in this one.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Rafael dos Anjos +150<\/p>\n<p><strong>Michael McDonald (13-1-0): -450<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Alex Soto (6-0-1): +325<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Alex Soto took this fight on short notice and is in for a treat against a young, hungry Michael McDonald. Soto is a tough customer but the combination of striking and submission prowess of McDonald will be too much.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Michael McDonald -450<\/p>\n<p><strong>Seth Baczynski (14-6-0): +120<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Matt Brown (11-10-0): -150<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Matt Brown brings a rather unimpressive MMA record to the Octagon on Saturday against a big Welterweight Seth Baczynski. Both fighters have an aggressive style \u2013 neither likes to go to the judge\u2019s score card. Brown may get the better of the standup but when this fight hits the mat, Baczynski has the edge. Take Seth\u2019s size and better all around game to prevail in a minor upset.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Seth Baczynski +120<\/p>\n<p><strong>Shamar Bailey (12-4-0): +220<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong> Danny Castillo (11-4-0): -300<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Both of these fighters are described as wrestlers with Castillo being the better of the two. Shamar Bailey has looked just OK since his time on The Ultimate fighter but he will have a tough time against the decent defensive style of Castillo. Look for Castillo\u2019s strength, his defense and his take down ability to be the difference in a less-than-scintillating fight.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Danny Castillo -300<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In a match for the ages, Mauricio \u2018Shogun\u2019 Rua vs. Dan Henderson in a battle of MMA legends. Rua is the complete package while Henderson is a wrestler by trade. We preview and provide predictions for UFC 139 for the entire fight card.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":45838,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1436],"tags":[53033,53036,53037,53034,53035,2105,1942],"class_list":["post-45739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fight-club","tag-mauricio-rua-vs-dan-henderson","tag-rua-vs-henderson-picks","tag-shogun-vs-henderson-predictions","tag-ufc-139","tag-ufc-139-odds","tag-ufc-picks","tag-ufc-predictions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45739","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45739"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45739\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":46408,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45739\/revisions\/46408"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45838"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45739"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45739"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45739"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}