{"id":45687,"date":"2011-11-16T11:34:42","date_gmt":"2011-11-16T19:34:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=45687"},"modified":"2011-11-16T11:34:42","modified_gmt":"2011-11-16T19:34:42","slug":"2011-week-11-predictions-totals-and-gambling-lines-161111","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/nfl\/2011-week-11-predictions-totals-and-gambling-lines-161111\/","title":{"rendered":"2011 NFL Gambling: Lines | Week 11 Matchups &#038; Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>2011 Week 11 NFL Gambling Lines: Top 3 Matchups and Predictions<\/h2>\n<p>The second half of the NFL regular season got underway last week and it proved to be beneficial to the visitors and low-scoring games. With a full slate of 16 games, 10 road teams covered against the spread and 10 games stayed \u2018under\u2019 the total. The favorites and underdogs were evenly split at eight games apiece.  <!--more--> <\/p>\n<p>My top plays for Week 10 had mixed results with a 1-2 record overall, so it was back to the drawing board in an effort to mine out the value in this week lines. After thoroughly crunching the numbers, I was able to uncover a few more top plays for Week 11. All odds quoted are courtesy of BetOnline.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Sunday, November 20<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3>Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins (-1)<\/h3>\n<p>Buffalo\u2019s season is on the brink this week after getting hammered by Dallas last Sunday 44-7 as a 4.5-point road underdog. The Bills have now lost four of their last six games straight-up after a promising 3-0 start. They are 4-4-1 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p>Miami is starting to show some signs of life after a disastrous 0-7 SU start (1-5-1 ATS) with back-to-back victories including a 20-9 win over Washington last Sunday as a four-point home favorite. This followed a 31-3 pasting of Kansas City as a four-point road underdog.<\/p>\n<p>The Bills are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss, while the Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a SU win. Buffalo is 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 games against Miami. The Bills circle the wagons this week in South Beach with a solid win. <strong>The Pick: Buffalo 24 vs.\u00a0Miami 13<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3>Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers (-14)<\/h3>\n<p>Just like a bad offensive line, Tampa Bay has had a couple of false starts this season. After reeling off three straight wins earlier in the season it was thumped by San Francisco 48-3 as a 2.5-point road underdog. It bounced back with an impressive 26-20 win over New Orleans as a six-point home favorite, but has lost its last three to fall to 4-5 SU (3-6 ATS) on the year.  [soliloquy id=&#8221;82219&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p>Like a well-oiled machine, Green Bay keeps rolling through the regular season with win-after-win. The Packers moved to 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS with a 45-7 rout of Minnesota as a 13-point home favorite this past Monday night. The main thing they have to fight through on a short week is over-confidence heading into this week\u2019s game.<\/p>\n<p>The Buccaneers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as road underdogs. The Packers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as home favorites. Head-to-head, Tampa Bay is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Complacency sets in a bit this week in anticipation of a Thanksgiving Day showdown with Detroit which allows Tampa just enough of an opening to cover with the 14 points. <strong>The Pick: Green Bay 28 vs.\u00a0Tampa Bay 17<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3>Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers (9.5)<\/h3>\n<p>Arizona has sandwiched three wins around six losses including a huge 21-17 come-from-behind victory last week against Philadelphia as a 13.5-point road underdog. The Cardinals may actually be better off with John Skelton at quarterback after turning in two solid performances in place of the injured Kevin Kolb.<\/p>\n<p>San Francisco racked-up its eighth win of the season against just one loss with a thrilling 27-20 victory over the New York Giants as a four-point home favorite. The win moved its record to a very profitable 8-0-1 ATS. This is another team that could get caught looking ahead this week with a road game against Baltimore looming on the schedule.<\/p>\n<p>The road team in this series is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10. Much like Tampa Bay, the Cardinals catch the 49ers napping a bit this Sunday and are able to keep things close enough to cover. <strong>The Pick: San Francisco 26 vs.\u00a0Arizona 19<\/strong>   <\/p>\n<p>CHECK OUT OUR <a href=\"\/forums\/nfl-football-betting\/\"><strong>NFL football betting forums<\/strong><\/a> today! Join us today and make NFL football picks against the spread for all NFL Football matchups!<\/p>\n<p>The 2011 NFL Gambling Season is finally here. Welcome to the CappersPicks.com NFL football weekly predictions pages! We KNOW you will find our FREE weekly <a href=\"\/nfl\/\"><strong>nfl football predictions<\/strong><\/a>, tips, betting advice, strategies, NFL wagering articles and more to help you become the best NFL football bettor on your block!!<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/respsportscapping.php?premium_picks\/leg,nfl\/NFC,AF23_15\"><strong>CLICK HERE FOR THE BEST NFL FOOTBALL PICKS ALL SEASON LONG \u2014\u2013&gt;<\/strong><\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dave Schwab weighs in on the second week of the NFL 2011 season. A brief review of the current Week 11 point spreads and NFL Week 11 over\/under lines for all the games being featured in Week eleven\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":29306,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[28750,3743,53032,21080,38986,4898,834,38987,38989,1172,38991,53031,4726,38992,38994],"class_list":["post-45687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-28750","tag-bills-vs-dolphins","tag-buccaneers-vs-packers","tag-cardinals-vs-49ers","tag-gamble-on-week-11-games","tag-nfl-football-odds","tag-nfl-lines","tag-nfl-projections-week-11","tag-nfl-week-11-overunder-lines","tag-sportsbook-odds","tag-week-11-matchups","tag-week-11-nfl-gambling-lines","tag-week-11-nfl-predictions","tag-week-11-nfl-spreads","tag-week-11-point-spreads-nfl"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45687","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45687"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45687\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45918,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45687\/revisions\/45918"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29306"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45687"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45687"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45687"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}