{"id":43954,"date":"2011-09-29T11:42:56","date_gmt":"2011-09-29T18:42:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=43954"},"modified":"2011-09-29T11:42:56","modified_gmt":"2011-09-29T18:42:56","slug":"2011-week-4-predictions-totals-and-gambling-lines-29911","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/nfl\/2011-week-4-predictions-totals-and-gambling-lines-29911\/","title":{"rendered":"2011 NFL Gambling: Lines | Week 4 Matchups & Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

2011 Week 4 NFL Gambling Lines: Top 3 Matchups and Predictions<\/strong><\/h2>\n

It was a \u2018Dog Day Afternoon\u2019 last Sunday as 10 of 15 underdogs either covered the spread or won their game outright. Washington made it 11-of-16 for the week after covering the four-point spread against Dallas on Monday night. <\/p>\n

The total line swung heavily towards the \u2018under\u2019 after favoring the \u2018over\u2019 the first two weeks with 10 of the 16 games staying below the line. I continued my early season slide in Week 3 and am now 3-5-1 on my top picks.<\/p>\n

After once again crunching the numbers for this week\u2019s games, the following is a brief betting preview and prediction for my top three picks on the schedule.<\/p>\n

All odds quoted are courtesy of\u00a0Bodog SportsBook<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Sunday, October 2<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns (-1)<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Over\/Under: 39<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tennessee has strung together back-to-back victories after an ugly 16-14 loss to Jacksonville as a one-point road underdog on opening day. The Titans have been getting it done behind a resurgent Matt Hasselbeck, who has thrown for 932 yards and five touchdowns, however the loss of wide receiver Kenny Britt for the season with a torn-up knee is a major loss moving forward.<\/p>\n

Cleveland is also 2-1 straight-up on the year with its 17-16 win over Miami as a one-point home favorite. The Browns running game should get a boost this week with the expected return on Peyton Hillis, who sat out last week\u2019s game due to illness.<\/p>\n

The Titans are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven road games and 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a SU win. Cleveland is 6-0 ATS in its last six Week 4 games and 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games in October.<\/p>\n

The Pick: Cleveland 20\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Tennessee 17<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Steelers at Houston Texans (-4)<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Over\/Under: 45<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pittsburgh bounced back from its 35-7 opening day debacle in Baltimore as a one-point road underdog with a convincing 24-0 shutout of Seattle as a 13.5-point home favorite. The Steelers looked less than sharp this past Sunday night in a 23-20 win over the unmanned Colts as 10.5-point road favorites. [soliloquy id=”82219″]<\/p>\n

Houston suffered its first setback of the season last week after ending up on the wrong end of a 40-33 shootout with New Orleans as a 3.5-point road underdog. The Texans have gotten a huge effort from running back Ben Tate in place of Arian Foster, who continues to struggle with a strained hamstring.<\/p>\n

The Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog and 5-0 ATS following an ATS loss. The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.<\/p>\n

The Pick: Houston 24\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Pittsburgh 21<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers (-8)<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Over\/Under: 45<\/strong><\/p>\n

Many people are already penciling-in Miami as the front-runner in the Andrew Luck-sweepstakes after a 0-3 start, but its offense is actually 12th<\/span><\/sup> in the league in total yards and seventh in rushing, which is a dramatic improvement from last season.<\/p>\n

San Diego is off to a 2-1 start SU, but is 0-3 ATS. It needed a dramatic comeback to get by Minnesota 24-17 on opening day as a nine-point home favorite, and squeaked-by Kansas City 20-17 at home as a 14.5-point favorite.<\/p>\n

The Dolphins are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as road underdogs, while the Chargers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games as favorites. Miami is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the two and 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to San Diego.<\/p>\n

The Pick: Miami 21\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0San Diego 20<\/strong><\/p>\n

CHECK OUT OUR NFL football betting forums<\/strong><\/a> today! Join us today and make NFL football picks against the spread for all NFL Football matchups!<\/p>\n

The 2011 NFL Gambling Season is finally here. Welcome to the CappersPicks.com NFL football weekly predictions pages! We KNOW you will find our FREE weekly nfl football predictions<\/strong><\/a>, tips, betting advice, strategies, NFL wagering articles and more to help you become the best NFL football bettor on your block!!<\/p>\n

CLICK HERE FOR THE BEST NFL FOOTBALL PICKS ALL SEASON LONG \u2014\u2013><\/strong><\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dave Schwab weighs in on the second week of the NFL 2011 season. A brief review of the current Week 4 point spreads and NFL Week 4 over\/under lines for all the games being featured in Week four\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":29306,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[28750,52437,35445,4898,834,35446,35448,1172,52435,5727,35450,52436,35451,35452,35454],"class_list":["post-43954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-28750","tag-dolphins-vs-chargers","tag-gamble-on-week-4-games","tag-nfl-football-odds","tag-nfl-lines","tag-nfl-projections-week-4","tag-nfl-week-4-overunder-lines","tag-sportsbook-odds","tag-steelers-vs-texans","tag-titans-vs-browns","tag-week-4-matchups","tag-week-4-nfl-gambling-lines","tag-week-4-nfl-predictions","tag-week-4-nfl-spreads","tag-week-4-point-spreads-nfl"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43954","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43954"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43954\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44247,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43954\/revisions\/44247"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29306"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43954"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43954"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43954"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}