We already looked ahead and made some Week-1 NFL picks over the summer. But now we have a full preseason of education under our belts. Which picks have changed as a result? Here are three games to try. <\/p>\n
I\u2019ll do my best to pick games that provide value and a decent chance of educated picks.<\/p>\n
Thursday, September 8, 8:30 p.m. ET
\nNFL betting favorite: Packers -4<\/p>\n
This isn\u2019t nearly as easy of a pick as it seemed to be a month ago; the line shift from 5.5 to 4 suggests that oddsmakers agree.<\/p>\n
You\u2019ll be hard pressed to find two teams that had more impressive preseasons than the Saints and Packers. Drew Brees erased any concerns about his knee woes. The Saints\u2019 \u201cD\u201d looks improved. Rookie running back Mark Ingram has been just as good as advertised and then some.<\/p>\n
Meanwhile, the Pack have also been in midseason form. The success of both Aaron Rodgers and Matt Flynn under center shows just how nicely the offense is humming along. The Pack look like they\u2019ll be healthier in Week 1 than they were when they won the Super Bowl last year.<\/p>\n
Since the Pack are at home and they\u2019re 7-2 ATS over their last nine when favored, I\u2019ll stick with the defending champs.<\/p>\n
Pick: Packers -4<\/strong><\/p>\n Sunday, September 11, 1:00 p.m. ET The kneejerk reaction is to pick the Eagles in a walk here. But I wonder if this game has upset-special potential. Michael Vick didn\u2019t have a very good preseason and the Eagles are on the road.<\/p>\n But…on second thought, I don\u2019t think the Rams can pull it off. Sam Bradford has huge potential as a quarterback in Josh McDaniels\u2019 offense but it\u2019s very complicated to learn and Bradford didn\u2019t even half a full offseason to do so because of the lockout. His spotty preseason suggests he\u2019ll still have some growing pains. He could have trouble against an aggressive Eagles \u201cD.\u201d Also, Philly\u2019s offense could be too speedy to handle on turf. Even if Vick\u2019s arm is rusty, he\u2019ll make plays with his feet.<\/p>\n I like the Rams to challenge for the NFC West crown this season but they\u2019re 1-9-1 ATS in Week 1 over the last 11 seasons. This team starts slowly. [soliloquy id=”82219″]<\/p>\n Pick: Eagles -4.5<\/strong><\/p>\n Sunday, September 11, 1:00 p.m. ET Yes, we know the Falcons will be one of the NFL\u2019s most exciting teams this season. Matt Ryan threw 42 times in one half in his last preseason appearance. This team clearly wants to air it out and, with options like Roddy White and rookie Julio Jones, has the pass-catchers to do so effectively.<\/p>\n But I wonder if the hype train is out of control. Let\u2019s not forget that the Falcons \u201cD\u201d was quite ordinary a year ago. Let\u2019s also remember that they\u2019re at Chicago this week and that the Bears, love them or hate them, were a division champ and NFC Championship finalist last season.<\/p>\n I think the Falcons will get a little wakeup call in Week 1, just as they did last season against Pittsburgh. The Bears \u201cD\u201d should play tough at home and Mike Martz\u2019s offense could be more effective in its second go-round this season.<\/p>\n Pick: Bears +3<\/strong><\/p>\n Stick with Cappers Picks NFL articles all season long folks! We pump out TONS of daily articles for our NFL bettors!<\/p>\n Ready to start NFL Gambling Online<\/a> today?<\/p>\n Matt Larkin weighs in with his NFL Betting analysis and NFL Week 1 Picks for free at Cappers Picks…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":195,"featured_media":40374,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[50480,50404,1485,31652,33974,32272,830,840,844,50403,1331],"class_list":["post-42790","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-eagles-vs-rams","tag-falcons-vs-bears","tag-football-lines","tag-free-week-1-picks","tag-free-week-1-predictions","tag-nfl-betting-favorites","tag-nfl-handicapping","tag-nfl-odds","tag-nfl-picks","tag-saints-vs-packers","tag-week-1-nfl-picks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42790","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/195"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42790"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42790\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42801,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42790\/revisions\/42801"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40374"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42790"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42790"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42790"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Philadelphia Eagles @ St. Louis Rams<\/h3>\n
\nNFL betting favorite: Eagles -4.5<\/p>\nAtlanta Falcons @ Chicago Bears<\/h3>\n
\nNFL betting favorite: Falcons -3<\/p>\n**CLICK HERE TO GET YOUR ONLINE NFL HANDICAPPING PREDICTIONS & WEEKLY SELECTIONS**<\/strong><\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"