{"id":41159,"date":"2011-07-27T22:17:46","date_gmt":"2011-07-28T05:17:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=41159"},"modified":"2011-07-27T22:17:46","modified_gmt":"2011-07-28T05:17:46","slug":"handicapping-and-how-to-bet-on-basketball-27711","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/nba\/handicapping-and-how-to-bet-on-basketball-27711\/","title":{"rendered":"NBA Betting \u2013 How to bet on NBA Basketball"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>NBA Handicapping Tips \u2013 How to Bet on NBA Hoops<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"\/nba\/\" title=\"Bet On NBA Basketball\">NBA basketball<\/a> is one of the most fun sports to bet because of its variety. Whereas other major pro sports trend toward a certain kind of betting, like spreads for football and money lines for baseball, everything is popular in hoops. <!--more--><\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"http:\/\/partners.commission.bz\/processing\/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_805b_879\" rel=\"nofollow\">CLICK HERE TO OPEN AN ACCOUNT AT BETONLINE.COM AND BET ON NBA FUTURE ODDS AT THE BEST SPORTSBOOK ONLINE!!!!!<\/a><\/h3>\n<p>You\u2019ll see spread bets, money-line bets and over\/under picks galore. <\/p>\n<p>Here are some guidelines I like to follow when I bet on NBA basketball. <\/p>\n<p>Anything helps, because many bettors feel NBA lines are the sharpest next to NFL lines.<\/p>\n<h3>1. Home court is everything.<\/h3>\n<p>This principle applies more to money lines. Arguably, home-venue advantage is more powerful in basketball than it is in any other sport. Many people believe it\u2019s because the fans are so much closer to the action than in sports like hockey, football or baseball. The Spike Lee\/Reggie Miller rivalry says it all. Fans can be right on top of the action and interacting with players.<\/p>\n<p>The numbers don\u2019t lie. Home\/road splits are ridiculously lopsided in the NBA. Nine different teams won at least 30 of their 41 home games last season. The Clippers finished 18 games under .500 but were five games over .500 at home. <\/p>\n<p>If you bet money lines, it\u2019s hard to strike gold picking road teams.<\/p>\n<h3>2 .Star power is everything \u2013 so treat injuries seriously.<\/h3>\n<p>Fantasy basketball explains this principle the best. If LeBron James is your best player and he gets hurt, your team is toast. There is no \u201creplacement LeBron James.\u201d Whereas we commonly see stud running backs in football or goalies in hockey inherit jobs because of injuries and explode into stardom, that just doesn\u2019t happen in the NBA. <\/p>\n<p>If LeBron gets hurt, his replacement off the bench in Miami <em>will not <\/em>score 30 points a night. It just never happens.<\/p>\n<p>Thus, any injury to a star has to be considered catastrophic in money-line betting. The Mavericks won\u2019t become a \u201csneaky value play with Dirk injured\u201d because \u201cthat backup that will replace him is better than people think.\u201d Just doesn\u2019t happen.<\/p>\n<h3>3. Upsets rarely happen on money lines<\/h3>\n<p>In terms of money lines, picking a straight-up winner, it\u2019s rarely worth it to chase big upsets. Sure, you\u2019ll get that odd game when the Cavaliers shock the Lakers, but nine times out of 10 they get blown out. Few outcomes are easier to predict in team sports than a first-place NBA team facing a bottom feeder.  [soliloquy id=&#8221;82219&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p>Compound that with home court for the powerhouse team and you have a virtual lock.<\/p>\n<h3>4. Upsets commonly happen on spreads for powerhouses.<\/h3>\n<p>The upset principle is far different for spread betting. The star-studded playoff contenders are often awarded spreads simply too big to cover and fall short of expectations. <\/p>\n<p>Did you know the Heat, Celtics and Lakers were all under .500 against the spread last season? There\u2019s value to be found picking the spread against them. The principle applies more to \u201cbig name\u201d teams than simply good teams. <\/p>\n<p>The Bulls, for example, had less media hype than the three teams listed above and had a great ATS record. Next season, however, they won\u2019t sneak up on oddsmakers as much and may struggle more to cover.<\/p>\n<h3>5. Pay attention to the mental and emotional aspects of the game. <\/h3>\n<p>We don\u2019t know why \u2013 but basketball players are maniacs. For that reason, it\u2019s important to stay connected to NBA news, whether you\u2019re reading up on the latest gossip or watching the games. <\/p>\n<p>Certain players clash with their coaches; some guys can\u2019t handle the pressure on the road; others tank when their name pops up in trade rumors, as we saw with Carmelo Anthony in his final games with Denver; other players melt down when matched up with tough defenders.<\/p>\n<p>Do your homework. Basketball players are often complex, emotional characters and factors besides their pure skill can influence games.<\/p>\n<h3><a title=\"NBA Picks\" href=\"\/handicappers\/\" target=\"_self\"><strong>GRAB OUR BEST Expert NBA Picks for NBA Basketball Betting! \u2014\u2013&gt;<\/strong><\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Shea Matthews weighs in with his analysis of how to become an expert as gambling on NBA basketball. He tells our NBA betting fans the key is home court is everything, Home\/road splits are ridiculously lopsided in the NBA gambling action&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":195,"featured_media":41183,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[1979,3944,3938,50875,50876,744,10900,749,7280,1172],"class_list":["post-41159","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-basketball-betting","tag-basketball-lines","tag-basketball-odds","tag-bet-nba-lines","tag-betting-on-basketball","tag-nba-betting","tag-nba-gambling-tips","tag-nba-odds","tag-nba-systems","tag-sportsbook-odds"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/195"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41159"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41159\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41187,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41159\/revisions\/41187"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41183"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}