THE BEST SPORTSBOOK FOR BETTING ON THE NFL! \u2013 CLICK HERE NOW + BET ON FOOTBALL TODAY!<\/a><\/h3>\nBecause of its popularity, however, the NFL is also arguably the most difficult sport to bet.<\/p>\n
The public is very knowledgeable about NFL football and, because teams play just once a week, there\u2019s lots of time to crunch numbers and learn about extra information like injuries. Oddsmakers have therefore become amazingly good at making extremely accurate or \u201csharp\u201d lines. You have to dig very deep to find value. ![\"\"](\"\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/sportsbook-e1294436804497.jpg\" "\\"sportsbook\\"")
How to Bet on NFL Football<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\nFor that reason, any advice we can share with each other on NFL betting is useful. Here are a few tips I have to offer, in random order. <\/p>\n
Keep in mind that I\u2019m primarily focusing on point-spread betting.<\/p>\n
1. Shop For Lines. <\/h3>\n
The layman may scoff at the experienced bettor who spends an hour trying to find a 3.5-point spread instead of a 3-pointer. But you\u2019d be amazed at how many NFL games are decided by a hair. It never hurts to shop around for the best value possible. <\/p>\n
The difference may look marginal but it isn\u2019t.<\/p>\n
2. Injuries to players other than quarterbacks are overrated.<\/h3>\n
Any fantasy football fan surely understands this principle. Running backs, for example, are a dime a dozen nowadays. Darren McFadden gets hurt and Michael Bush tears it up. Chris Ivory saves the day for the Saints \u2013 as a third stringer. NFL rosters have so much depth and talent that they can replace cogs in the machine without drastically impacting their overall performance.<\/p>\n
Looking for NFL Picks for all the weekly NFL Matchups? CLICK HERE!<\/strong><\/a><\/h3>\nQuarterbacks are an obvious exception, however. Most of the time, an injury to the starter will force a team to drastically alter its offense for better (the Eagles when Michael Vick stepped in) or for worse (the Bears when Todd Collins replaced Jay Cutler).<\/p>\n
3. Have fun with parlays \u2013 but temper your expectations. <\/h3>\n
How many times has your buddy told you, \u201cI got every game right except for ONE! It cost me a grand!\u201d That\u2019s what parlays \u2013 bets on multiple games strung together \u2013 can do to you. They offer a huge return on a minimal investment but they\u2019re extremely difficult to pull off. <\/p>\n
Just understand that your odds are low \u2013 and don\u2019t bet too much \u2013 and you\u2019ll have more fun with parlays. [soliloquy id=”82219″]<\/p>\n
4. Pay more attention to ATS records than win-loss records.<\/h3>\n
It\u2019s a such a common mistake in NFL betting that I can\u2019t help but smile at it: people forget what they\u2019re actually playing against. If you\u2019re picking the Lions +6.5 over the Packers, you are NOT betting on the Detroit Lions and against the Packers. Your opponent is the spread, not Green Bay. Your bet should therefore not be based on a team\u2019s win-loss record but instead its against-the-spread record. <\/p>\n
The Lions were 5-7 overall last season but their 12-4 ATS record was tops in the NFL.<\/p>\n
5. Weather Matters \u2013 Sometimes.<\/h3>\n
You don\u2019t want to go overboard worrying about weather \u2013 in the first few months of the season. When the weather turns cold and\/or snowy, however, it becomes more of a factor.<\/p>\n
Take Mark Sanchez, for example. He played his college ball at sunny Southern California. <\/p>\n
It\u2019s thus no surprise that his best NFL career passer rating comes at temperatures above 80 degrees (112.2). By comparison, his rating in frigid temperatures below 21 degrees is 60.2. In \u201cwindy\u201d weather, he has 17 career interceptions versus five touchdown passes. <\/p>\n
For that reason, any advice we can share with each other on NFL betting is useful. Here are a few tips I have to offer, in random order. <\/p>\n
Keep in mind that I\u2019m primarily focusing on point-spread betting.<\/p>\n
1. Shop For Lines. <\/h3>\n
The layman may scoff at the experienced bettor who spends an hour trying to find a 3.5-point spread instead of a 3-pointer. But you\u2019d be amazed at how many NFL games are decided by a hair. It never hurts to shop around for the best value possible. <\/p>\n
The difference may look marginal but it isn\u2019t.<\/p>\n
2. Injuries to players other than quarterbacks are overrated.<\/h3>\n
Any fantasy football fan surely understands this principle. Running backs, for example, are a dime a dozen nowadays. Darren McFadden gets hurt and Michael Bush tears it up. Chris Ivory saves the day for the Saints \u2013 as a third stringer. NFL rosters have so much depth and talent that they can replace cogs in the machine without drastically impacting their overall performance.<\/p>\n