{"id":39053,"date":"2011-06-09T09:33:58","date_gmt":"2011-06-09T16:33:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=39053"},"modified":"2011-06-10T11:06:03","modified_gmt":"2011-06-10T18:06:03","slug":"handicapping-first-five-innings-9611","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/mlb-baseball\/handicapping-first-five-innings-9611\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB Betting \u2013 First Five Innings Betting"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>MLB Handicapping Tips &#8211; First Five Innings, Baseball Betting<\/h2>\n<p>Baseball is a unique sport. It\u2019s a team game, but individual players take turns influencing the games at various junctures completely on their own. A dominant starting pitcher can hang eight scoreless innings on the board only to see his closer blow the game in the ninth. Imagine that in football. <!--more--><\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"http:\/\/partners.commission.bz\/processing\/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_805b_776\" rel=\"nofollow\">THE BEST SPORTSBOOK FOR AMERICA&#8217;S PASTTIME! \u2013 CLICK HERE NOW + BET ON MLB TODAY!<\/a><\/h3>\n<p>\u201cMan, Drew Brees dominated for three quarters but the backup quarterback came in to \u2018close\u2019 the game in the fourth quarter and threw a pick-six!\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Thankfully, sportsbooks have come up with a new way of letting bettors isolate the part of a game they feel more confident about: first five inning lines.<\/p>\n<h3>HOW FIRST FIVE INNING LINES WORK<\/h3>\n<p>Betting a first five inning line is pretty simple. You just pick which team you believe will be winning the game after five innings.<\/p>\n<h3>SAME MONEY LINES, DIFFERENT RESULT<\/h3>\n<p>The beauty of first five innings lines is that they\u2019re almost always identical to normal full-game money lines. That provides bettors with a major opportunity to profit.<\/p>\n<p>If you do your homework and find <a title=\"MLB Baseball\" href=\"\/mlb\/\">MLB<\/a> records through the first five innings, you\u2019ll gain \u2013 and exploit \u2013 some valuable information.<\/p>\n<p>The key is to find a team whose first five innings record doesn\u2019t match up with its overall record. Last season, the Yankees were well above .500 and, not surprisingly, were favored in full-game money lines more often than not. However, they usually did their damage late in games by using their power and bullpen to stage big comebacks. They actually had a losing record in the first five innings of games.<\/p>\n<p>Flash back to the earlier point: money lines for first-five innings are usually the same as full-game money lines. They reflect a team\u2019s overall record and reputation, not its first-five innings performance. In other words, the Yankees were regularly favored to win the first five innings of games last year despite having a poor first five innings record. You can make a major profit betting on a first five innings line against a good team that secretly struggles in the first five innings, as you\u2019ll get underdog value on the opposing team.<\/p>\n<p>Obviously, you can also find value in a team with a poor overall record that secretly starts off games well. They\u2019ll be underdogs at books but may \u201cwin\u201d the first five innings before choking.<\/p>\n<h3>ISOLATING STARTING PITCHERS<\/h3>\n<p>My favorite thing about first five innings lines is that they let you focus on the part of the game you can most easily predict: starting pitcher performances.<\/p>\n<p>We have oodles of info on starting pitchers. We have their recent efforts, their splits in every park, home\/away, day\/night, grass\/turf, and their history against every hitter. There are no sure things in sports betting but it\u2019s easier to predict starting pitcher performance than it is many other outcomes in sports.  [dfads params=&#8217;groups=10&amp;limit=1&amp;return_javascript=0&#8242;]<\/p>\n<p>It can therefore be extremely frustrating to see a bullpen blow a game. Jon Lester is 8-1 in 14 career starts against the Yankees, you bet on the Red Sox, and BOOM \u2013 Jonathan Papelbon blows the save and Boston loses the game.<\/p>\n<p>With a first five innings line, you can isolate the part of the game you trust more. Picking the first-five innings \u2013 which Lester will almost certainly pitch \u2013 takes the Papelbon factor right out of the game.<\/p>\n<h3>ABUSING HOME AND AWAY RECORDS<\/h3>\n<p>The home\/away principle in first five innings <a title=\"MLB Betting Picks\" href=\"\/sportscapping.php?premium_picks\/leg,mlb\/afc,AF23_15\" rel=\"nofollow\">baseball betting<\/a> is similar to the way you can turn a favorite on its head. Just as the Yankees struggled last season early in games despite their solid overall record, plenty of major-league teams have excellent overall home records but secretly scuffle early on in games at their own parks.<\/p>\n<p>Money lines and first five inning lines almost always favor home teams. If you can find a team with a poor first five innings record at home but a good overall home record, you can again get solid underdog value on the road team by picking them to win the first five innings.<\/p>\n<p>There you have it, folks. MLB first five innings line are overlooked by many bettors but are a simple and easy way to seriously up your odds of winning money on baseball every night. Good luck!<\/p>\n<h3><a title=\"MLB Picks\" href=\"\/handicappers\/\" target=\"_self\"><strong>GRAB OUR BEST Expert MLB Picks for 2011 MLB Betting! \u2014\u2013&gt;<\/strong><\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Shea Matthews weighs in with his analysis of first 5 innings baseball betting and tells our MLB gambling fans the key is to find a team whose first five innings record doesn\u2019t match up with its overall record&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":195,"featured_media":24257,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[49700,670],"tags":[49712,102,3882,49716,49714,49715,49713,3775,49717,1172],"class_list":["post-39053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fantasy-sports","category-mlb-baseball","tag-5-inning-lines","tag-baseball-betting","tag-baseball-lines","tag-betting-the-first-five","tag-first-five-innings","tag-first-five-innings-betting","tag-five-inning-odds","tag-mlb-odds","tag-mlb-systems","tag-sportsbook-odds"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/195"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39053"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39053\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39127,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39053\/revisions\/39127"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24257"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}