{"id":26764,"date":"2010-09-21T13:54:22","date_gmt":"2010-09-21T18:54:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=26764"},"modified":"2010-09-21T13:54:22","modified_gmt":"2010-09-21T18:54:22","slug":"odds-wk4-horned-frogs-vs-mustangs-free-pick-210910","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/ncaa-football\/odds-wk4-horned-frogs-vs-mustangs-free-pick-210910\/","title":{"rendered":"Week 4 TCU vs. SMU Preview & Pick (Sept. 24)"},"content":{"rendered":"

NCAA Football Odds – TCU Horned Frogs vs SMU Mustangs Free Pick & Preview<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The 2010 CFB Season is rolling into Week 4 here. Welcome to the CappersPicks.com college football weekly predictions pages! We KNOW you will find our FREE weekly college football picks<\/strong><\/a>, tips, betting advice, strategies, CFB gambling articles and more to help you become the best College football bettor on your block!! <\/p>\n

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Texas Christian Horned Frogs at Southern Methodist Mustangs Matchup<\/strong><\/p>\n

Friday September 24 – 8:00PM<\/strong>
\nGerald J Ford Stadium – Dallas, Texas<\/strong>
\nTCU (3-0) vs SMU (2-1)<\/strong>
\nMoneyline:<\/strong>
\nSpread Favourite: <\/strong>TCU -17.5 (-110)
\nOver\/Under:<\/strong> 55.5
\nBet Now @ Betus.com!<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

TCU<\/strong><\/p>\n

Through their first three games the Horned Frogs are definitely looking worthy of BCS consideration.\u00a0 After being accused of taking their foot off the gas against Oregon State in the opener they have dominated their last two foes, including a Baylor team that some expect to surprise in the Big 12 behind dynamic QB Robert Griffin.\u00a0 SMU will present another challenge this week.\u00a0 Their pass happy offense can score points in a hurry and they are a definite contender in wide open conference USA.<\/p>\n

TCU is a very balanced team.\u00a0 Everyone knows they can shut you down on defense but lost amid last year\u2019s success was that they can score too..a lot.\u00a0 This year they are 6th in the nation in scoring at over 45ppg.\u00a0 They may not have a Heisman hopeful at running back but their overall run game is 9th in the country led by sophomore Ed Wesley.\u00a0 Wesley is picking up where he left off as a freshman and is averaging an amazing 8.7 yards per carry.\u00a0 His 4 TDs this season already match his total from last year where he was an important reserve.\u00a0 Now he is one of TCU\u2019s best playmakers.<\/p>\n

Though not in the same conference these teams have played in each of the last three seasons.\u00a0 All games were won by TCU but SMU covered in two of those, including last season.\u00a0 Strange as it may sound TCU\u2019s record against the spread may be critical this year as they are being judged weekly not only by wins and losses but by dominance as well.\u00a0 Another complete performance is to be expected. \"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

SMU<\/strong><\/p>\n

Through three games SMU has shown a little bit of everything.\u00a0 In week one they almost upset Texas Tech (feistiness); in week 2 they dominated UAB (balance); and last week they revenged last year\u2019s loss to Washington State (poor defense).\u00a0 Last week\u2019s victory should have been a rout.\u00a0 Instead, the game was tied at halftime at Wazzu was able to move the ball successfully against the Mustang D.\u00a0 You can bet that TCU is smelling blood in the water coming into this game against an out of conference rival.<\/p>\n

For SMU to have a chance againt TCU they have to be able to move the ball against the vaunted Horned Frogs defense.\u00a0 Last year their running game was non-existent (-1 net yards after sacks) which put a lot of pressure on the QB.\u00a0 This was actually an improvement from -8 net yards the year before.\u00a0 It is obvious that you have to establish some semblance of balance if you want to beat a team like TCU.\u00a0 If they get shut out in the running game again it is going to be a long night for Kyle Padron and Co.<\/p>\n

Its going to be really tough for the Mustangs to hang with the Horned Frogs on Friday night.\u00a0 The atmosphere should be fantastic for this national TV game and it will be critical to get off to a good start to keep the crowd in the game.\u00a0 No matter how it starts this game will follow a familiar script as TCU exerts its dominance in all phases of the game.\u00a0 For entertainment sakes, we can only hope that the wacky offensive mind of June Jones has something cooked up to keep SMU in the ball game through half time.<\/p>\n

The Pick: <\/strong>I usually shy away from backing heavy favourites but in this one I feel a bit more secure.\u00a0 TCU knows the whole world is watching and they have really shutdown SMU in the past.\u00a0 I would back TCU but it wouldn\u2019t be my play of the week.<\/p>\n

College Football Gambling Trends<\/strong><\/p>\n

Horned Frogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
\nHorned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
\nHorned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
\nMustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
\nMustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
\nHorned Frogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
\nUnderdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.<\/p>\n

Score Prediction:\u00a0 TCU 42 – SMU 17<\/strong><\/p>\n

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<\/strong>
\n<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

On Friday September 24th its the TCU Horned Frogs vs. SMU Mustangs. Odds have the Horned Frogs listed as 17.5-point favorites. The game’s total is sitting at 55\u00bd, here is a preview, free pick plus the college football betting angle.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":180,"featured_media":26292,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[10330,164,287,324,1485,470,548,34791,34792,34793,763,771,17005,1039,19459,1168,6178,34796,34794,34795,2308,34797,1260,1294,1775,1984,17942],"class_list":["post-26764","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaa-football","tag-10330","tag-betting-lines","tag-cfb-picks","tag-college-football-odds","tag-football-lines","tag-free-pick","tag-handicappers-predictions","tag-horned-frogs-mustangs-lines","tag-horned-frogs-vs-mustangs","tag-horned-frogs-vs-mustangs-predictions","tag-ncaa-football-betting","tag-ncaa-football-previews","tag-ncaa-football-spreads","tag-previews","tag-smu-mustangs","tag-sportsbook","tag-tcu-horned-frogs","tag-tcu-horned-frogs-vs-smu-mustangs","tag-tcu-smu-odds","tag-tcu-smu-spread","tag-tcu-vs-smu","tag-tcu-vs-smu-free-pick","tag-trends","tag-vegas-picks","tag-wagering-ncaaf-odds","tag-week-4","tag-week-4-free-picks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26764","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/180"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26764"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26764\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26765,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26764\/revisions\/26765"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26292"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26764"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26764"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26764"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}