{"id":24884,"date":"2010-08-11T12:00:48","date_gmt":"2010-08-11T17:00:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=24884"},"modified":"2010-08-11T12:00:48","modified_gmt":"2010-08-11T17:00:48","slug":"nfl-betting-tips-stats-advice-110810","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/handicapping\/nfl-betting-tips-stats-advice-110810\/","title":{"rendered":"2010 NFL Betting \u2013 Seven Key Steps to Success"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ready To Bet On NFL Football In 2010?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Looking for some great tips to consider before 2010 NFL betting<\/strong><\/a>? We’ve got your back. Don\u2019t you hate when you get that perfect betting tip or system at the\u00a0end <\/em>of the football season? You\u2019re left thinking, \u201cWhy didn\u2019t I know this before I lost money all year?\u201d Time to change that.<\/p>\n

CHECK OUT OUR CAPPERS 2010 NFL WEEKLY PICKS ALL SEASON LONG —–><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Just as the season is about to start, here are seven simple steps to follow for success.\u00a0Some of them may be obvious, others not so much. But they can all help you. Enjoy! \"\"<\/p>\n

1. Team statistics mean everything<\/strong><\/p>\n

You can usually tell a lot about a matchup simply by looking at each team\u2019s statistical strengths and weaknesses. For example, while no one expected a 59-0 rout, most savvy bettors saw New England\u2019s destruction of Tennessee coming last year. The reason: the Titans ranked brutally low against the pass and struggled to rush the passer whereas the Patriots ranked near the top of the league in passing offense. It was easy to see that Tom Brady would pick the Titans apart.<\/p>\n

Team ranks sometimes matter more than an individual star\u2019s presence. Nnamdi Asomugha is an elite cornerback and he helps make the Oakland Raiders\u2019 pass defense respectable but he alone won\u2019t ensure that Oakland will \u201cshut down\u201d an opponent and win. If Oakland can\u2019t stop the run, it will still allow plenty of points.<\/p>\n

2. Keep track of injuries<\/strong><\/p>\n

While you can sometimes get better value hammering lines early in the week, I recommend taking slightly less value but upping your odds closer to game time with an educated guess. Follow injury reports and be aware of any high-impact absences or returns to the lineup.<\/p>\n

3. Watch the games<\/strong><\/p>\n

It\u2019s a simple but effective way to know more about whom you\u2019re betting on. Aaron Rodgers is a great quarterback but you\u2019ll know from watching him that he holds onto the ball for way too long. When he faces an aggressive pass rush, you may expect him to take a few extra hits and turn over the ball.<\/p>\n

Watching games can reveal things not found on a stat sheet. On paper, Brett Favre took zero sacks against New Orleans in the NFC Championship game last year. If you watched it live, you\u2019ll know that the Saints beat the tar out of him by hitting him at the end of every play, even if he still got his throws off. Suddenly, the secret to defeating Favre was revealed: beat him up. \"Sports<\/a><\/p>\n

4. Weather matters, especially late in the season<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rain and mud can affect teams\u2019 run-to-pass ratios but it\u2019s cold weather and snow that really give bettors a leg up. If a Florida team travels to Buffalo or Green Bay in December, pounce. Warm-weather teams often struggle to adjust in tough conditions.<\/p>\n

A perfect example is a famous 1985 matchup between the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Green Bay Packers. In a vicious snow storm, the Pack gained 463 yards. The Bucs gained 69. Not a coincidence.<\/p>\n

5. Losers aren\u2019t always losers<\/strong><\/p>\n

Just because a team\u2019s win-loss record is terrible doesn\u2019t mean it will lose you money every week. Some bad teams consistently lose close games and thus beat the spread more often than people expect. The most famous example in 2009 was Kansas City; the Chiefs went 2-14 but lost eight games by a touchdown or less.<\/p>\n

6. Keep track of betting-specific statistics<\/strong><\/p>\n

This rule goes hand-in-hand with No. 5. If you bet against the spread every week, doesn\u2019t a team\u2019s against the spread record matter more than its win-loss record? The Cleveland Browns were 10-6 ATS last year. If you ignored their\u00a0 5-11 straight-up record and followed the betting trends, they would\u2019ve won you money.<\/p>\n

Betting statistics go beyond the spread; don\u2019t forget about over\/under records.<\/p>\n

7. Look for value early in the season<\/strong><\/p>\n

It\u2019s easier to handicap a game in Week 15, when you have a boatload of season rankings and accurate current team statistics to help with your forecast. But what about Week 1, when we don\u2019t truly know how much a team has improved over the offseason?<\/p>\n

Take the Denver Broncos. Everyone expected them to be a disaster in 2009 yet they opened the season 6-0. Opponents underestimated them and so did bettors. It\u2019s no sure thing, but it can be profitable to play a hunch on your favorite surprise team early in the season.<\/p>\n

For example, most books favor the Chicago Bears by seven over the Detroit Lions in Week 1 this year. But what if Chicago underestimates rookie Jahvid Best\u2019s breakaway speed or Ndamukong Suh\u2019s ability to rush Jay Cutler? Sometimes, early-season unpredictability gives you value.<\/p>\n

We stand behind one of our top NFL Sportsbooks \u2013 Sportsbook.com \u2013 Sign Up For A Free Account Today, and know that Sportsbook.com has the highest \u00a0CREDIT CARD ACCEPTANCE rate in the industry.<\/a><\/h3>\n

<\/strong>
\n<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Shea Matthews weighs in with his 2010 NFL handicapping and Football betting tips which will help you become a better NFL handicapper…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68,"featured_media":24886,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[551],"tags":[31798,155,225,32420,32428,32424,32426,11121,802,32427,32421,32423,827,16212,828,830,833,32422,844,856,4703,32425,5497,32429],"class_list":["post-24884","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-handicapping","tag-2010-nfl-betting","tag-bet-on-nfl-football","tag-bookie","tag-gamble-on-nfl-football","tag-key-numbers","tag-make-money-betting-nfl","tag-make-money-gambling-football","tag-money-management","tag-nfl-betting","tag-nfl-betting-handicapping-tips","tag-nfl-betting-stats","tag-nfl-football-season","tag-nfl-gambling","tag-nfl-gambling-tips","tag-nfl-games","tag-nfl-handicapping","tag-nfl-injuries","tag-nfl-line-value","tag-nfl-picks","tag-nfl-predictions","tag-nfl-stats","tag-nfl-wagering-insight","tag-nfl-weather","tag-tip-sheet"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24884","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/68"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24884"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24884\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24888,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24884\/revisions\/24888"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24886"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24884"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24884"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24884"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}